ZWS
Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation Industrials - Water Products Investor Relations →
Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation (ZWS) closed at $50.51 as of 2026-07-31, trading 47.9% above its 200-week moving average of $34.16. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 42.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 44, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.6x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.21 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 700 weeks of data, ZWS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ZWS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +42.4%.
With a market cap of $8.4 billion, ZWS is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.9%. Return on equity stands at 16.9%, a solid level. The stock trades at 5.1x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.6% over the past three years. ZWS passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 13.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ZWS would have grown to $523, compared to $598 for the S&P 500. ZWS has returned 13.1% annualized vs 14.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 52.4% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: ZWS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After ZWS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying ZWS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +50.4% after 12 months (median +43.0%), compared to +24.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 90% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +70.3% vs +41.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ZWS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices ZWS would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where ZWS's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $42.16 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $44.54 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $47.20 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $50.20 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $53.61 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from ZWS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
ZWS has crossed below its 200-week MA 10 times with an average 1-year return of +42.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2013 | May 2013 | 7 | 11.2% | +40.0% | +483.0% |
| Jun 2013 | Sep 2013 | 13 | 12.8% | +58.5% | +520.1% |
| Jul 2015 | Apr 2017 | 94 | 35.4% | -12.6% | +379.6% |
| May 2017 | Jul 2017 | 9 | 2.8% | +26.2% | +383.6% |
| Jul 2017 | Jul 2017 | 1 | 0.9% | +29.3% | +376.7% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 3 | 5.1% | +46.1% | +394.3% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 8 | 25.4% | +103.4% | +336.7% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 1 | 0.6% | +40.6% | +147.3% |
| Jan 2023 | Jan 2023 | 1 | 2.9% | +40.4% | +151.4% |
| Mar 2023 | May 2023 | 10 | 8.8% | +51.7% | +144.7% |
| Average | 15 | — | +42.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ZWS below its 200-week moving average?
No. Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation (ZWS) is currently 47.9% above its 200-week moving average of $34.16. It would need to fall to $34.16 to cross below the line.
What is ZWS's 200-week moving average price?
Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation's 200-week moving average is $34.16 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when ZWS drops below its 200-week moving average?
ZWS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +42.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 15 weeks on average.
Is ZWS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about ZWS as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 44. Free cash flow yield is 3.9%. Return on equity is 16.9%. Price-to-book is 5.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does ZWS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 13.4 years, $100 invested in ZWS would have grown to $523, compared to $598 for the S&P 500. That's 13.1% annualized vs 14.3% for the index. ZWS has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does ZWS pay a dividend?
Yes. Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 87.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31