ZION

Zions Bancorporation Financial Services - Banking Investor Relations →

NO
41.5% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 49.5% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Signal Threshold $46.09
14-Week RSI 47
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.9x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.80

Zions Bancorporation (ZION) closed at $65.23 as of 2026-09-18, trading 41.5% above its 200-week moving average of $46.09. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 49.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 47, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.80 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 2378 weeks of data, ZION has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times. On average, these episodes lasted 24 weeks. Historically, investors who bought ZION at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +21.3%.

With a market cap of $9.5 billion, ZION is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 16.4%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.

Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in ZION would have grown to $1149, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. ZION has returned 7.5% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -9.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: ZION vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After ZION Crosses Below the Line?

Across 21 historical episodes, buying ZION when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +25.4% after 12 months (median +28.0%), compared to +6.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 71% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +46.5% vs +19.6% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment ZION crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices ZION would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score +2.04σ
Current FCF Yield 17.65%
Baseline Yield 16.71%
Historical σ 0.83pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where ZION's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-19.

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$65.35Unusually cheap — analysis point
Value+1σ$68.56Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$72.10Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$76.03Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$80.41Unusually expensive — analysis point

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Recent Earnings

DateEPS Est.EPS ActualSurprise
2026-07-20$1.92$3.05+58.8%
2026-04-20$1.43$1.54+8.0%
2026-01-20$1.57$1.76+12.4%
2025-10-20$1.39$1.54+10.5%
Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 24 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

13 / 13 weeks minimum

the write-ups I read Simply Wall St · Visual company reports and write-ups. Free tier covers five reports a month. referral

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from ZION's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

⚠ Earnings quality deteriorating — net income is outrunning free cash flow vs this company's own norm. Cheapness signals here deserve extra scrutiny.
Yield Dislocation -0.29σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -0.50σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative -0.22σ Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration +0.1pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity 26th TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History N/A Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Deteriorating Accrual gap trend (+6.2pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

Historical Touches

ZION has crossed below its 200-week MA 26 times with an average 1-year return of +21.3% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Mar 1982Mar 198221.3%+16.5%+6145.8%
Jun 1982Jun 198221.0%+49.4%+6145.8%
Sep 1987Oct 198911140.9%-37.4%+3210.4%
Nov 1989Apr 19902413.1%+0.2%+3660.4%
Aug 1990Oct 1990117.1%+82.2%+3917.4%
Feb 2000May 20001213.0%+53.5%+181.1%
Jul 2000Jul 200012.6%+35.4%+147.0%
Aug 2000Sep 200035.6%+38.9%+148.3%
Sep 2000Sep 200012.1%+16.8%+140.7%
Oct 2001Dec 20011115.2%-16.4%+131.5%
Jan 2002Feb 200243.1%-16.3%+104.3%
Jun 2002Aug 2002912.4%+3.3%+102.7%
Sep 2002May 20033727.9%+12.5%+105.3%
Sep 2007Mar 201223389.1%-33.4%+38.0%
Apr 2012Aug 20121710.0%+27.5%+352.5%
Jan 2015Feb 201510.4%-4.6%+269.0%
Jan 2016Apr 20161520.2%+78.1%+256.7%
May 2016May 201622.7%+58.2%+236.7%
Jun 2016Jul 201667.9%+63.2%+227.8%
Aug 2019Aug 201920.7%-11.1%+105.4%
Feb 2020Dec 20204342.5%+38.0%+103.8%
Dec 2022Dec 202211.3%-0.1%+62.8%
Mar 2023Dec 20234051.4%+10.2%+84.5%
Jan 2024May 20241710.9%+31.3%+69.6%
May 2024Jul 202477.6%+11.7%+62.6%
Mar 2025Apr 202549.0%+45.1%+65.2%
Average24+21.3%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is ZION below its 200-week moving average?

No. Zions Bancorporation (ZION) is currently 41.5% above its 200-week moving average of $46.09. It would need to fall to $46.09 to cross below the line.

What is ZION's 200-week moving average price?

Zions Bancorporation's 200-week moving average is $46.09 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when ZION drops below its 200-week moving average?

ZION has crossed below its 200-week moving average 26 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +21.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 24 weeks on average.

Is ZION a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about ZION as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 47. Return on equity is 16.4%. Price-to-book is 1.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does ZION compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in ZION would have grown to $1149, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 7.5% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. ZION has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does ZION pay a dividend?

Yes. Zions Bancorporation currently pays a dividend yield of 294.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-09-18