YOU
Clear Secure, Inc. Technology - Identity Verification Investor Relations →
Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) closed at $55.24 as of 2026-07-31, trading 98.7% above its 200-week moving average of $27.81. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 89.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 51, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.23 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 217 weeks of data, YOU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times. On average, these episodes lasted 24 weeks. Historically, investors who bought YOU at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +28.3%.
With a market cap of $7.4 billion, YOU is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.6%. Return on equity stands at 109.5%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 30.6x book value.
Share count has increased 10.9% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 4.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in YOU would have grown to $305, compared to $209 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 30.6% vs 19.3% for the index — confirming YOU as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 36% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: YOU vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After YOU Crosses Below the Line?
Across 5 historical episodes, buying YOU when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +26.2% after 12 months (median +15.0%), compared to +24.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 60% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -2.0% vs +53.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment YOU crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices YOU would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where YOU's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $43.40 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $49.25 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $56.93 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $67.45 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $82.73 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from YOU's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
YOU has crossed below its 200-week MA 5 times with an average 1-year return of +28.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2022 | Nov 2022 | 24 | 39.4% | +2.8% | +169.0% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 7 | 13.9% | -22.0% | +112.4% |
| Feb 2023 | Aug 2024 | 78 | 41.8% | -29.8% | +113.0% |
| Jan 2025 | Mar 2025 | 8 | 10.7% | +50.2% | +137.1% |
| May 2025 | May 2025 | 3 | 2.5% | +140.3% | +134.3% |
| Average | 24 | — | +28.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is YOU below its 200-week moving average?
No. Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) is currently 98.7% above its 200-week moving average of $27.81. It would need to fall to $27.81 to cross below the line.
What is YOU's 200-week moving average price?
Clear Secure, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $27.81 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when YOU drops below its 200-week moving average?
YOU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +28.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 24 weeks on average.
Is YOU a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about YOU as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 51. Free cash flow yield is 4.6%. Return on equity is 109.5%. Price-to-book is 30.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does YOU compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 4.2 years, $100 invested in YOU would have grown to $305, compared to $209 for the S&P 500. That's 30.6% annualized vs 19.3% for the index. YOU has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does YOU pay a dividend?
Yes. Clear Secure, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 107.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31