YOU
Clear Secure, Inc. Technology - Identity Verification Investor Relations →
Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) closed at $42.23 as of 2026-09-11, trading 48.8% above its 200-week moving average of $28.38. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 56.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 33, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.94 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 223 weeks of data, YOU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times. On average, these episodes lasted 24 weeks. Historically, investors who bought YOU at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +28.3%.
With a market cap of $5.7 billion, YOU is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.3%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 119.2%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 23.4x book value.
Share count has increased 10.9% over three years, indicating dilution. YOU passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 4.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in YOU would have grown to $234, compared to $214 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 21.6% vs 19.2% for the index — confirming YOU as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 36% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: YOU vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After YOU Crosses Below the Line?
Across 5 historical episodes, buying YOU when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +26.2% after 12 months (median +15.0%), compared to +24.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 60% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -2.0% vs +53.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment YOU crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices YOU would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where YOU's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-05.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $42.43 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $46.88 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $52.37 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $59.31 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $68.38 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | $0.47 | $0.57 | +22.0% |
| 2026-05-06 | $0.36 | $0.47 | +32.0% |
| 2026-02-25 | $0.43 | $0.46 | +6.7% |
| 2025-11-06 | $0.33 | $0.37 | +12.8% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
the write-ups I read Simply Wall St · Visual company reports and write-ups. Free tier covers five reports a month. referral
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from YOU's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
YOU has crossed below its 200-week MA 5 times with an average 1-year return of +28.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2022 | Nov 2022 | 24 | 39.4% | +2.8% | +106.4% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 7 | 13.9% | -22.0% | +62.9% |
| Feb 2023 | Aug 2024 | 78 | 41.8% | -29.8% | +63.4% |
| Jan 2025 | Mar 2025 | 8 | 10.7% | +50.2% | +81.9% |
| May 2025 | May 2025 | 3 | 2.5% | +140.3% | +79.8% |
| Average | 24 | — | +28.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is YOU below its 200-week moving average?
No. Clear Secure, Inc. (YOU) is currently 48.8% above its 200-week moving average of $28.38. It would need to fall to $28.38 to cross below the line.
What is YOU's 200-week moving average price?
Clear Secure, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $28.38 as of 2026-09-11. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when YOU drops below its 200-week moving average?
YOU has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +28.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 24 weeks on average.
Is YOU a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about YOU as of 2026-09-11: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 33. Free cash flow yield is 7.3%. Return on equity is 119.2%. Price-to-book is 23.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does YOU compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 4.3 years, $100 invested in YOU would have grown to $234, compared to $214 for the S&P 500. That's 21.6% annualized vs 19.2% for the index. YOU has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does YOU pay a dividend?
Yes. Clear Secure, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 136.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-11