YELP
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Yelp Inc. (YELP) closed at $22.88 as of 2026-06-19, trading 33.8% below its 200-week moving average of $34.56. This places YELP in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -33.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 47, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.86 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 698 weeks of data, YELP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times. On average, these episodes lasted 19 weeks.
With a market cap of $1258 million, YELP is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 22.4%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 20.4%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 2.0x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 14.1% over the past three years. YELP passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow. This stock also meets the Yartseva multibagger criteria as a small-cap with strong free cash flow yield and reasonable book value.
Over the past 13.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in YELP would have grown to $99, compared to $620 for the S&P 500. YELP has returned -0.0% annualized vs 14.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 26.4% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: YELP vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After YELP Crosses Below the Line?
Across 20 historical episodes, buying YELP when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of -3.1% after 12 months (median -16.0%), compared to +5.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 20% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +5.1% vs +29.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment YELP crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices YELP would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where YELP's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-06.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $17.48 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $19.62 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $22.35 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $25.96 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $30.97 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from YELP's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
YELP has crossed below its 200-week MA 20 times
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2013 | Feb 2013 | 1 | 0.4% | +309.2% | +4.7% |
| Feb 2015 | Feb 2015 | 1 | 3.4% | -59.9% | -49.3% |
| Mar 2015 | Mar 2015 | 2 | 3.7% | -55.6% | -50.7% |
| Apr 2015 | May 2015 | 1 | 14.8% | -47.2% | -42.5% |
| May 2015 | May 2015 | 1 | 0.5% | -45.8% | -50.8% |
| Jun 2015 | Oct 2017 | 123 | 64.7% | -39.1% | -48.0% |
| Dec 2017 | Jan 2018 | 4 | 5.4% | -14.5% | -43.5% |
| Feb 2018 | Feb 2018 | 1 | 6.6% | -0.8% | -40.2% |
| Nov 2018 | Jan 2019 | 10 | 15.5% | +8.9% | -28.3% |
| Mar 2019 | Apr 2019 | 4 | 2.9% | -16.7% | -34.1% |
| May 2019 | Feb 2021 | 91 | 53.9% | -31.1% | -32.7% |
| Nov 2021 | Dec 2021 | 1 | 1.1% | -12.0% | -33.4% |
| Jan 2022 | Jan 2022 | 2 | 5.4% | -8.8% | -29.8% |
| Feb 2022 | Mar 2022 | 2 | 6.5% | -7.2% | -29.8% |
| Apr 2022 | Aug 2022 | 17 | 16.2% | -8.3% | -32.3% |
| Sep 2022 | Sep 2022 | 1 | 0.3% | +27.2% | -29.8% |
| Oct 2022 | May 2023 | 28 | 18.7% | +47.6% | -24.5% |
| Jul 2024 | Nov 2024 | 17 | 7.2% | -4.8% | -34.1% |
| Feb 2025 | May 2025 | 11 | 8.5% | -40.5% | -35.9% |
| Jun 2025 | Ongoing | 54+ | 40.3% | Ongoing | -35.4% |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is YELP below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Yelp Inc. (YELP) is trading 33.8% below its 200-week moving average of $34.56. The current price is $22.88.
What is YELP's 200-week moving average price?
Yelp Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $34.56 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when YELP drops below its 200-week moving average?
YELP has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times in our data. These episodes lasted 19 weeks on average.
Is YELP a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about YELP as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 47. Free cash flow yield is 22.4%. Return on equity is 20.4%. Price-to-book is 2.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does YELP compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 13.4 years, $100 invested in YELP would have grown to $99, compared to $620 for the S&P 500. That's -0.0% annualized vs 14.6% for the index. YELP has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19