XPOF
Xponential Fitness, Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Fitness Investor Relations →
Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF) closed at $5.67 as of 2026-03-20, trading 62.1% below its 200-week moving average of $14.98. This places XPOF in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -61.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 38, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.16 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 195 weeks of data, XPOF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times. On average, these episodes lasted 48 weeks. Historically, investors who bought XPOF at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +11.8%.
With a market cap of $289 million, XPOF is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 22.6%, which is notably high. The stock trades at -0.7x book value.
Share count has increased 27.9% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 3.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in XPOF would have grown to $44, compared to $182 for the S&P 500. XPOF has returned -19.4% annualized vs 16.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 1 open-market purchase totaling $536,690. Notably, these purchases occurred while XPOF is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -13.7% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: XPOF vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After XPOF Crosses Below the Line?
Across 3 historical episodes, buying XPOF when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +1.7% after 12 months (median -10.0%), compared to +26.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 33% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -22.7% vs +50.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment XPOF crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
XPOF has crossed below its 200-week MA 3 times with an average 1-year return of +11.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2022 | Aug 2022 | 6 | 24.8% | +33.3% | -56.2% |
| Jun 2023 | Aug 2023 | 6 | 14.8% | -9.6% | -67.1% |
| Sep 2023 | Ongoing | 133+ | 71.8% | Ongoing | -70.0% |
| Average | 48 | — | +11.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is XPOF below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Xponential Fitness, Inc. (XPOF) is trading 62.1% below its 200-week moving average of $14.98. The current price is $5.67.
What is XPOF's 200-week moving average price?
Xponential Fitness, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $14.98 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when XPOF drops below its 200-week moving average?
XPOF has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +11.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 48 weeks on average.
Is XPOF a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about XPOF as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 38. Free cash flow yield is 22.6%. Price-to-book is -0.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does XPOF compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 3.8 years, $100 invested in XPOF would have grown to $44, compared to $182 for the S&P 500. That's -19.4% annualized vs 16.9% for the index. XPOF has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20