XOM
Exxon Mobil Corporation Energy - Oil & Gas Investor Relations →
Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM) closed at $149.05 as of 2026-02-02, trading 45.2% above its 200-week moving average of $102.68. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 38.2% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 90, XOM is in overbought territory.
Over the past 3296 weeks of data, XOM has crossed below its 200-week moving average 36 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought XOM at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +11.5%.
With a market cap of $628.6 billion, XOM is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.1%. Return on equity stands at 11.1%. The stock trades at 2.4x book value.
XOM is a Dividend Aristocrat, having increased its dividend for 25 or more consecutive years. The current yield is 276.00%. Share count has increased 2.7% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in XOM would have grown to $2830, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. XOM has returned 10.6% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -5.2% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: XOM vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After XOM Crosses Below the Line?
Across 26 historical episodes, buying XOM when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +7.3% after 12 months (median +3.0%), compared to +13.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 58% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +17.2% vs +30.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment XOM crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
XOM has crossed below its 200-week MA 36 times with an average 1-year return of +11.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1966 | Jul 1966 | 3 | 3.6% | -5.8% | +101116.1% |
| Jul 1966 | Mar 1968 | 88 | 14.5% | -3.5% | +100934.1% |
| May 1968 | Jun 1968 | 2 | 0.7% | +29.7% | +96952.4% |
| Jun 1968 | Jun 1968 | 1 | 0.3% | +22.8% | +96771.7% |
| Nov 1969 | Aug 1970 | 41 | 19.3% | +10.6% | +93599.9% |
| May 1974 | Jun 1974 | 3 | 1.0% | +24.0% | +66546.1% |
| Jun 1974 | Jul 1974 | 5 | 4.8% | +40.4% | +68312.3% |
| Aug 1974 | Jan 1975 | 24 | 23.9% | +32.1% | +66852.2% |
| Mar 1975 | Apr 1975 | 1 | 0.9% | +42.5% | +64606.7% |
| Aug 1982 | Aug 1982 | 1 | 1.9% | +60.6% | +25721.9% |
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 1 | 3.6% | -6.0% | +809.4% |
| Nov 2001 | Dec 2001 | 3 | 2.1% | -4.6% | +766.2% |
| Jul 2002 | Aug 2003 | 59 | 15.7% | +0.1% | +776.5% |
| Sep 2003 | Sep 2003 | 2 | 1.7% | +34.2% | +736.9% |
| Oct 2003 | Dec 2003 | 6 | 4.9% | +38.0% | +746.3% |
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2008 | 3 | 10.6% | +13.6% | +349.0% |
| Feb 2009 | Jun 2009 | 15 | 10.3% | -5.2% | +288.8% |
| Jun 2009 | Oct 2009 | 17 | 9.9% | -8.9% | +287.5% |
| Oct 2009 | Nov 2009 | 3 | 1.9% | -4.8% | +281.8% |
| Dec 2009 | Dec 2010 | 52 | 22.7% | +1.8% | +273.6% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 1 | 2.2% | +29.8% | +273.0% |
| Sep 2011 | Sep 2011 | 3 | 2.6% | +29.8% | +266.6% |
| Mar 2015 | Apr 2015 | 4 | 1.5% | +1.5% | +182.7% |
| Jun 2015 | Mar 2016 | 41 | 15.0% | +8.6% | +179.0% |
| Mar 2016 | Apr 2016 | 2 | 1.3% | +2.4% | +175.9% |
| Sep 2016 | Sep 2016 | 1 | 0.5% | -0.6% | +169.7% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 1 | 0.6% | +3.3% | +169.3% |
| Jan 2017 | Oct 2017 | 36 | 6.4% | +5.0% | +167.1% |
| Nov 2017 | Nov 2017 | 1 | 0.7% | +2.5% | +167.8% |
| Feb 2018 | May 2018 | 13 | 8.5% | +1.7% | +183.6% |
| Nov 2018 | Nov 2018 | 1 | 1.5% | -3.7% | +173.4% |
| Dec 2018 | Feb 2019 | 9 | 11.0% | -4.0% | +173.0% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 4 | 5.9% | -36.2% | +172.3% |
| Jul 2019 | Mar 2021 | 85 | 54.5% | -38.5% | +169.1% |
| Mar 2021 | May 2021 | 7 | 6.0% | +47.0% | +217.4% |
| Jul 2021 | Sep 2021 | 10 | 7.4% | +55.0% | +208.4% |
| Average | 15 | — | +11.5% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02