XEL
Xcel Energy Inc. Utilities - Electric Investor Relations →
Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) closed at $76.77 as of 2026-03-20, trading 23.0% above its 200-week moving average of $62.40. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 30.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 56, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.80 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2721 weeks of data, XEL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 30 weeks. Historically, investors who bought XEL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +7.0%.
With a market cap of $47.9 billion, XEL is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 9.4%. The stock trades at 2.0x book value.
Share count has increased 13.5% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in XEL would have grown to $1523, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. XEL has returned 8.5% annualized vs 10.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: XEL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After XEL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying XEL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +7.2% after 12 months (median +10.0%), compared to +11.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 60% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +24.3% vs +19.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment XEL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
XEL has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +7.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1974 | Jun 1975 | 70 | 36.3% | -15.9% | +8460.2% |
| Aug 1975 | Aug 1975 | 2 | 6.6% | +19.0% | +9251.1% |
| Mar 1978 | May 1978 | 8 | 3.8% | N/A | +8634.1% |
| Jul 1978 | Jul 1978 | 1 | 1.0% | -4.0% | +8417.9% |
| Sep 1978 | Jun 1981 | 140 | 30.0% | -5.0% | +8503.0% |
| Sep 1981 | Oct 1981 | 4 | 3.7% | +29.3% | +9052.2% |
| Aug 1990 | Sep 1990 | 4 | 3.7% | +38.8% | +2621.8% |
| Jul 1999 | Aug 1999 | 3 | 4.2% | +5.2% | +928.6% |
| Sep 1999 | May 2000 | 33 | 25.2% | +26.1% | +914.5% |
| May 2000 | Jul 2000 | 7 | 8.4% | +47.6% | +923.9% |
| May 2002 | Sep 2004 | 124 | 68.2% | -24.1% | +859.3% |
| Oct 2004 | Oct 2004 | 1 | 0.4% | +12.7% | +899.2% |
| Oct 2008 | Jul 2009 | 40 | 11.7% | +21.6% | +752.4% |
| Oct 2022 | Oct 2022 | 3 | 5.1% | -1.1% | +44.3% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 1 | 0.6% | -16.5% | +35.7% |
| May 2023 | Jul 2023 | 6 | 2.3% | -8.9% | +34.8% |
| Jul 2023 | Aug 2024 | 57 | 21.2% | -5.2% | +34.2% |
| Average | 30 | — | +7.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is XEL below its 200-week moving average?
No. Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) is currently 23.0% above its 200-week moving average of $62.40. It would need to fall to $62.40 to cross below the line.
What is XEL's 200-week moving average price?
Xcel Energy Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $62.40 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when XEL drops below its 200-week moving average?
XEL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +7.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 30 weeks on average.
Is XEL a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about XEL as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 56. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 9.4%. Price-to-book is 2.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does XEL compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in XEL would have grown to $1523, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 8.5% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. XEL has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does XEL pay a dividend?
Yes. Xcel Energy Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 309.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20