XEL
Xcel Energy Inc. Utilities - Electric Investor Relations →
Xcel Energy Inc. (XEL) closed at $75.90 as of 2026-02-02, trading 21.7% above its 200-week moving average of $62.38. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 22.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 38, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2715 weeks of data, XEL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 30 weeks. Historically, investors who bought XEL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +7.0%.
With a market cap of $44.9 billion, XEL is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 9.9%. The stock trades at 2.1x book value.
Share count has increased 5.6% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in XEL would have grown to $1494, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. XEL has returned 8.5% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: XEL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After XEL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying XEL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +7.2% after 12 months (median +10.0%), compared to +11.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 60% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +24.3% vs +19.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment XEL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
XEL has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +7.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1974 | Jun 1975 | 70 | 36.3% | -15.9% | +8301.1% |
| Aug 1975 | Aug 1975 | 2 | 6.6% | +19.0% | +9077.3% |
| Mar 1978 | May 1978 | 8 | 3.8% | N/A | +8471.7% |
| Jul 1978 | Jul 1978 | 1 | 1.0% | -4.0% | +8259.5% |
| Sep 1978 | Jun 1981 | 140 | 30.0% | -5.0% | +8343.1% |
| Sep 1981 | Oct 1981 | 4 | 3.7% | +29.3% | +8882.1% |
| Aug 1990 | Sep 1990 | 4 | 3.7% | +38.8% | +2571.2% |
| Jul 1999 | Aug 1999 | 3 | 4.2% | +5.2% | +909.5% |
| Sep 1999 | May 2000 | 33 | 25.2% | +26.1% | +895.6% |
| May 2000 | Jul 2000 | 7 | 8.4% | +47.6% | +904.9% |
| May 2002 | Sep 2004 | 124 | 68.2% | -24.1% | +841.5% |
| Oct 2004 | Oct 2004 | 1 | 0.4% | +12.7% | +880.6% |
| Oct 2008 | Jul 2009 | 40 | 11.7% | +21.6% | +736.6% |
| Oct 2022 | Oct 2022 | 3 | 5.1% | -1.1% | +41.6% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 1 | 0.6% | -16.5% | +33.1% |
| May 2023 | Jul 2023 | 6 | 2.3% | -8.9% | +32.2% |
| Jul 2023 | Aug 2024 | 57 | 21.2% | -5.2% | +31.7% |
| Average | 30 | — | +7.0% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02