WY
Weyerhaeuser Company Real Estate - REIT - Specialty Investor Relations →
Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) closed at $25.03 as of 2026-07-31, trading 8.2% below its 200-week moving average of $27.27. This places WY in the deep value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -12.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 51, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.12 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2730 weeks of data, WY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 51 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought WY at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +19.3%.
With a market cap of $18.0 billion, WY is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 4.2%. The stock trades at 1.9x book value.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in WY would have grown to $485, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. WY has returned 4.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 4 open-market purchases totaling $822,766. Notably, these purchases occurred while WY is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: WY vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After WY Crosses Below the Line?
Across 32 historical episodes, buying WY when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.2% after 12 months (median +19.0%), compared to +12.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 73% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +19.9% vs +22.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment WY crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. WY currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from WY's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
WY has crossed below its 200-week MA 51 times with an average 1-year return of +19.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1974 | Apr 1975 | 41 | 29.3% | +12.5% | +1548.0% |
| May 1977 | Aug 1979 | 118 | 39.6% | -31.6% | +1417.8% |
| Sep 1979 | Sep 1979 | 1 | 0.6% | +18.4% | +1560.4% |
| Oct 1979 | Dec 1979 | 10 | 11.7% | +19.1% | +1593.5% |
| Dec 1979 | Jan 1980 | 1 | 0.8% | +12.7% | +1587.9% |
| Mar 1980 | Apr 1980 | 6 | 6.9% | +36.2% | +1642.2% |
| Sep 1981 | Nov 1981 | 10 | 13.9% | +14.8% | +1703.0% |
| Jan 1982 | Aug 1982 | 34 | 18.1% | +42.6% | +1631.8% |
| Feb 1984 | Mar 1984 | 5 | 2.4% | +12.8% | +1368.4% |
| Apr 1984 | Dec 1984 | 37 | 15.4% | -1.2% | +1393.2% |
| Mar 1985 | May 1985 | 9 | 4.7% | +41.8% | +1417.5% |
| Jul 1985 | Jul 1985 | 1 | 0.0% | +24.5% | +1361.0% |
| Aug 1985 | Aug 1985 | 3 | 5.2% | +18.8% | +1377.0% |
| Sep 1985 | Nov 1985 | 8 | 9.2% | +37.6% | +1431.7% |
| Jan 1990 | Feb 1990 | 6 | 6.8% | -6.8% | +807.1% |
| Mar 1990 | Mar 1990 | 1 | 1.8% | -4.4% | +813.8% |
| Apr 1990 | May 1990 | 3 | 4.3% | +6.6% | +818.4% |
| Jun 1990 | Feb 1991 | 33 | 28.2% | +17.4% | +793.8% |
| Feb 1991 | Mar 1991 | 1 | 2.8% | +49.0% | +830.4% |
| Mar 1991 | Mar 1991 | 1 | 5.1% | +68.1% | +856.0% |
| Nov 1991 | Dec 1991 | 1 | 0.1% | +72.0% | +795.3% |
| Jul 1998 | Oct 1998 | 13 | 15.1% | +53.8% | +291.8% |
| Oct 1998 | Oct 1998 | 1 | 0.1% | +29.4% | +280.0% |
| Feb 2000 | Feb 2000 | 2 | 2.2% | +12.2% | +231.9% |
| May 2000 | Dec 2000 | 30 | 25.2% | +19.3% | +227.8% |
| Jan 2001 | Jan 2001 | 3 | 5.0% | +12.8% | +223.9% |
| Mar 2001 | Apr 2001 | 4 | 4.7% | +35.0% | +214.1% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 5 | 9.2% | +12.0% | +237.4% |
| Sep 2002 | Jan 2003 | 18 | 21.3% | +22.0% | +194.5% |
| Jan 2003 | Jun 2003 | 21 | 7.7% | +30.2% | +197.3% |
| Jul 2006 | Aug 2006 | 4 | 4.8% | +52.4% | +143.6% |
| Jan 2008 | Apr 2008 | 13 | 5.5% | -51.5% | +101.7% |
| May 2008 | May 2008 | 1 | 1.2% | -40.6% | +100.4% |
| May 2008 | Dec 2010 | 133 | 66.8% | -43.7% | +101.6% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 3 | 8.0% | +44.4% | +157.8% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 3 | 7.0% | +71.3% | +169.7% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 5.1% | +77.3% | +175.4% |
| Jan 2016 | Mar 2016 | 8 | 19.2% | +23.6% | +45.7% |
| Jun 2016 | Jun 2016 | 1 | 2.2% | +27.9% | +32.8% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2019 | 55 | 28.3% | -5.8% | +11.8% |
| Feb 2020 | Jul 2020 | 22 | 47.5% | +32.7% | +22.1% |
| Sep 2020 | Sep 2020 | 1 | 1.6% | +39.1% | +14.9% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 1.7% | +35.5% | +14.8% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 2 | 0.5% | +12.9% | +0.4% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 1 | 1.0% | +28.4% | -3.3% |
| May 2023 | Jun 2023 | 2 | 3.3% | +10.0% | -2.3% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 2 | 3.7% | +16.4% | -6.8% |
| May 2024 | Jul 2024 | 11 | 11.6% | -13.1% | -13.4% |
| Aug 2024 | Sep 2024 | 5 | 4.3% | -14.6% | -13.1% |
| Oct 2024 | Nov 2024 | 4 | 1.6% | -24.0% | -15.1% |
| Dec 2024 | Ongoing | 86+ | 26.0% | Ongoing | -12.5% |
| Average | 15 | — | +19.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WY below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-07-31, Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) is trading 8.2% below its 200-week moving average of $27.27. The current price is $25.03.
What is WY's 200-week moving average price?
Weyerhaeuser Company's 200-week moving average is $27.27 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when WY drops below its 200-week moving average?
WY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 51 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +19.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 15 weeks on average.
Is WY a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about WY as of 2026-07-31: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 51. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 4.2%. Price-to-book is 1.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does WY compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in WY would have grown to $485, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 4.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. WY has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does WY pay a dividend?
Yes. Weyerhaeuser Company currently pays a dividend yield of 344.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31