WY
Weyerhaeuser Company Real Estate - REIT - Specialty Investor Relations →
Weyerhaeuser Company (WY) closed at $26.64 as of 2026-02-02, trading 6.9% below its 200-week moving average of $28.61. This places WY in the deep value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -10.0% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 70, WY is in overbought territory.
Over the past 2705 weeks of data, WY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 51 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought WY at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +19.1%.
With a market cap of $19.2 billion, WY is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 3.4%. The stock trades at 2.0x book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in WY would have grown to $512, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. WY has returned 5.0% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -38.7% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: WY vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After WY Crosses Below the Line?
Across 33 historical episodes, buying WY when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.5% after 12 months (median +19.0%), compared to +12.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 74% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +22.2% vs +22.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment WY crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
WY has crossed below its 200-week MA 51 times with an average 1-year return of +19.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1974 | Apr 1975 | 41 | 29.3% | +12.5% | +1624.2% |
| May 1977 | Aug 1979 | 118 | 39.6% | -31.6% | +1488.0% |
| Sep 1979 | Sep 1979 | 1 | 0.5% | +18.4% | +1637.1% |
| Oct 1979 | Dec 1979 | 10 | 11.7% | +19.1% | +1671.7% |
| Dec 1979 | Jan 1980 | 1 | 0.7% | +12.7% | +1665.9% |
| Mar 1980 | May 1980 | 7 | 6.8% | +36.2% | +1722.7% |
| Sep 1981 | Nov 1981 | 10 | 13.8% | +14.8% | +1786.3% |
| Jan 1982 | Aug 1982 | 34 | 18.0% | +42.6% | +1711.8% |
| Feb 1984 | Mar 1984 | 5 | 2.3% | +12.8% | +1436.3% |
| Apr 1984 | Dec 1984 | 37 | 15.4% | -1.2% | +1462.2% |
| Mar 1985 | May 1985 | 9 | 4.6% | +41.8% | +1487.6% |
| Aug 1985 | Aug 1985 | 3 | 5.1% | +18.8% | +1445.3% |
| Sep 1985 | Nov 1985 | 8 | 9.1% | +37.6% | +1502.5% |
| Jan 1990 | Feb 1990 | 6 | 6.7% | -6.8% | +849.0% |
| Mar 1990 | Mar 1990 | 1 | 1.8% | -4.4% | +856.0% |
| Apr 1990 | May 1990 | 3 | 4.2% | +6.6% | +860.8% |
| Jun 1990 | Feb 1991 | 33 | 28.1% | +17.4% | +835.1% |
| Feb 1991 | Mar 1991 | 1 | 2.7% | +49.0% | +873.4% |
| Mar 1991 | Mar 1991 | 1 | 5.0% | +68.1% | +900.2% |
| Nov 1991 | Dec 1991 | 1 | 0.0% | +72.0% | +836.7% |
| Jul 1998 | Oct 1998 | 13 | 15.0% | +53.8% | +309.9% |
| Oct 1998 | Oct 1998 | 1 | 0.0% | +29.4% | +297.6% |
| Feb 2000 | Feb 2000 | 2 | 2.1% | +12.2% | +247.3% |
| May 2000 | Dec 2000 | 30 | 25.1% | +19.3% | +242.9% |
| Jan 2001 | Jan 2001 | 3 | 5.0% | +12.8% | +238.8% |
| Mar 2001 | Apr 2001 | 4 | 4.7% | +35.0% | +228.6% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 5 | 9.1% | +12.0% | +253.0% |
| Sep 2002 | Jan 2003 | 18 | 21.2% | +22.0% | +208.1% |
| Jan 2003 | Jun 2003 | 21 | 7.8% | +30.2% | +211.1% |
| Jul 2006 | Aug 2006 | 4 | 4.7% | +52.4% | +154.9% |
| Jan 2008 | Apr 2008 | 13 | 5.4% | -51.5% | +111.1% |
| Apr 2008 | May 2008 | 2 | 1.2% | -42.8% | +108.3% |
| May 2008 | Dec 2010 | 133 | 67.1% | -43.7% | +110.9% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 2 | 7.7% | +44.4% | +169.7% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 3 | 6.6% | +71.3% | +182.1% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 4.8% | +77.3% | +188.2% |
| Sep 2015 | Sep 2015 | 1 | 0.0% | +15.9% | +47.2% |
| Jan 2016 | Mar 2016 | 8 | 19.1% | +23.6% | +52.4% |
| Jun 2016 | Jun 2016 | 1 | 2.2% | +27.9% | +38.9% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2019 | 55 | 28.3% | -5.8% | +17.0% |
| Feb 2020 | Jul 2020 | 22 | 47.5% | +32.7% | +27.7% |
| Sep 2020 | Sep 2020 | 1 | 1.5% | +39.1% | +20.2% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 1.6% | +35.5% | +20.1% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 2 | 0.4% | +12.9% | +5.1% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 1 | 0.9% | +28.4% | +1.2% |
| May 2023 | Jun 2023 | 2 | 3.2% | +10.0% | +2.2% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 2 | 3.6% | +16.4% | -2.5% |
| May 2024 | Jul 2024 | 11 | 11.5% | -13.1% | -9.4% |
| Aug 2024 | Sep 2024 | 5 | 4.2% | -14.6% | -9.1% |
| Oct 2024 | Nov 2024 | 4 | 1.5% | -24.0% | -11.2% |
| Dec 2024 | Ongoing | 61+ | 26.0% | Ongoing | -8.4% |
| Average | 15 | — | +19.1% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02