WWD
Woodward Inc. Industrials - Aerospace Components Investor Relations →
Woodward Inc. (WWD) closed at $360.75 as of 2026-07-31, trading 86.1% above its 200-week moving average of $193.86. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 117.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 49, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.03 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1638 weeks of data, WWD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. Historically, investors who bought WWD at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +38.8%.
With a market cap of $21.3 billion, WWD is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 0.9%. Return on equity stands at 22.3%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 8.5x book value.
Over the past 31.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in WWD would have grown to $21412, compared to $2567 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 18.6% vs 10.9% for the index — confirming WWD as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 34.2% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: WWD vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After WWD Crosses Below the Line?
Across 24 historical episodes, buying WWD when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +44.6% after 12 months (median +43.0%), compared to +21.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 96% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +94.7% vs +27.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment WWD crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices WWD would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where WWD's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $332.53 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $366.57 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $408.37 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $460.94 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $529.03 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from WWD's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
WWD has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +38.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1995 | Dec 1995 | 39 | 18.8% | +47.8% | +21705.0% |
| Aug 1998 | Nov 1998 | 12 | 13.3% | +18.1% | +13486.2% |
| Dec 1998 | Apr 1999 | 18 | 12.9% | +24.3% | +12899.8% |
| May 1999 | May 1999 | 1 | 1.9% | +0.4% | +12108.4% |
| Jul 1999 | Aug 1999 | 2 | 2.6% | +34.5% | +11869.0% |
| Sep 1999 | Oct 1999 | 4 | 3.2% | +73.6% | +11458.7% |
| Nov 1999 | Nov 1999 | 1 | 0.7% | +66.0% | +11296.8% |
| Jan 2000 | Jun 2000 | 25 | 13.6% | +71.6% | +11073.3% |
| Oct 2002 | Nov 2002 | 5 | 12.5% | +20.3% | +6930.3% |
| Jan 2003 | Aug 2003 | 32 | 20.6% | +37.7% | +6343.7% |
| Sep 2003 | Oct 2003 | 5 | 3.1% | +48.9% | +5793.3% |
| Nov 2008 | Oct 2009 | 46 | 61.6% | +31.5% | +2201.4% |
| Oct 2009 | Nov 2009 | 1 | 1.7% | +34.5% | +1626.7% |
| Nov 2009 | Nov 2009 | 2 | 3.6% | +40.1% | +1650.0% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 1 | 4.6% | +45.2% | +1526.6% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 1 | 8.0% | +43.2% | +1410.8% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 4 | 4.2% | +33.2% | +1326.0% |
| Sep 2015 | Oct 2015 | 2 | 5.3% | +53.2% | +858.3% |
| Mar 2020 | Aug 2020 | 24 | 36.9% | +54.8% | +377.4% |
| Sep 2020 | Oct 2020 | 4 | 8.3% | +47.7% | +353.9% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 4.5% | +42.7% | +369.3% |
| May 2022 | May 2022 | 2 | 5.4% | +8.4% | +270.7% |
| Jun 2022 | Jan 2023 | 31 | 21.5% | +17.1% | +283.7% |
| Feb 2023 | May 2023 | 12 | 13.1% | +35.3% | +258.6% |
| Average | 12 | — | +38.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WWD below its 200-week moving average?
No. Woodward Inc. (WWD) is currently 86.1% above its 200-week moving average of $193.86. It would need to fall to $193.86 to cross below the line.
What is WWD's 200-week moving average price?
Woodward Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $193.86 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when WWD drops below its 200-week moving average?
WWD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +38.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 12 weeks on average.
Is WWD a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about WWD as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 49. Free cash flow yield is 0.9%. Return on equity is 22.3%. Price-to-book is 8.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does WWD compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 31.4 years, $100 invested in WWD would have grown to $21412, compared to $2567 for the S&P 500. That's 18.6% annualized vs 10.9% for the index. WWD has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does WWD pay a dividend?
Yes. Woodward Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 35.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31