WTW
Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company Financial Services - Insurance Brokers Investor Relations →
Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company (WTW) closed at $309.98 as of 2026-09-18, trading 13.3% above its 200-week moving average of $273.51. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 15.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 65, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.90 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1270 weeks of data, WTW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. Historically, investors who bought WTW at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +23.1%.
With a market cap of $28.8 billion, WTW is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.9%. Return on equity stands at 19.8%, a solid level. The stock trades at 3.8x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 10.9% over the past three years.
Over the past 24.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in WTW would have grown to $599, compared to $1107 for the S&P 500. WTW has returned 7.6% annualized vs 10.3% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 36.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: WTW vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After WTW Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying WTW when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +22.1% after 12 months (median +35.0%), compared to +16.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 83% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +29.1% vs +32.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment WTW crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices WTW would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where WTW's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-29.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $236.34 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $259.58 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $287.89 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $323.13 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $368.20 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | $3.11 | $3.35 | +7.8% |
| 2026-04-30 | $3.65 | $3.72 | +1.8% |
| 2026-02-03 | $7.93 | $8.12 | +2.4% |
| 2025-10-30 | $3.05 | $3.07 | +0.7% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from WTW's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
WTW has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +23.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2003 | Mar 2003 | 7 | 4.8% | +44.7% | +647.8% |
| Jun 2006 | Jul 2006 | 5 | 3.0% | +43.8% | +460.4% |
| Jan 2008 | Apr 2008 | 14 | 9.0% | -29.3% | +392.1% |
| Jun 2008 | Mar 2010 | 91 | 42.0% | -16.6% | +403.7% |
| May 2010 | Jun 2010 | 3 | 0.6% | +34.5% | +423.2% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 1 | 0.8% | +40.4% | +424.7% |
| Aug 2010 | Aug 2010 | 3 | 3.3% | +25.3% | +430.1% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 0.3% | +46.2% | +121.6% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 1.9% | +23.0% | +69.2% |
| Jul 2022 | Jul 2022 | 1 | 1.6% | +19.7% | +67.6% |
| Sep 2022 | Sep 2022 | 1 | 0.6% | +7.9% | +63.1% |
| Jul 2023 | Oct 2023 | 13 | 6.6% | +37.3% | +54.0% |
| Apr 2026 | Jun 2026 | 9 | 6.5% | N/A | +21.4% |
| Average | 12 | — | +23.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WTW below its 200-week moving average?
No. Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company (WTW) is currently 13.3% above its 200-week moving average of $273.51. It would need to fall to $273.51 to cross below the line.
What is WTW's 200-week moving average price?
Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company's 200-week moving average is $273.51 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when WTW drops below its 200-week moving average?
WTW has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +23.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 12 weeks on average.
Is WTW a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about WTW as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 65. Free cash flow yield is 4.9%. Return on equity is 19.8%. Price-to-book is 3.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does WTW compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 24.4 years, $100 invested in WTW would have grown to $599, compared to $1107 for the S&P 500. That's 7.6% annualized vs 10.3% for the index. WTW has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does WTW pay a dividend?
Yes. Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company currently pays a dividend yield of 124.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18