WTS
Watts Water Technologies, Inc. Industrials - Water Products Investor Relations →
Watts Water Technologies, Inc. (WTS) closed at $343.89 as of 2026-06-19, trading 63.5% above its 200-week moving average of $210.39. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 59.1% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 77, WTS is in overbought territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.04 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2030 weeks of data, WTS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 27 times. On average, these episodes lasted 16 weeks. Historically, investors who bought WTS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +18.5%.
With a market cap of $11.5 billion, WTS is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.6%. Return on equity stands at 18.9%, a solid level. The stock trades at 5.7x book value.
WTS passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in WTS would have grown to $2257, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. WTS has returned 9.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 22.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: WTS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After WTS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 26 historical episodes, buying WTS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +15.1% after 12 months (median +18.0%), compared to +14.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 65% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +21.2% vs +31.3% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment WTS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices WTS would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where WTS's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-05.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $281.58 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $295.89 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $311.74 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $329.37 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $349.13 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from WTS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
WTS has crossed below its 200-week MA 27 times with an average 1-year return of +18.5% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 1987 | Dec 1987 | 10 | 22.2% | +75.6% | +6470.4% |
| Feb 1993 | Mar 1993 | 3 | 4.3% | +36.1% | +2375.0% |
| Mar 1993 | Aug 1993 | 23 | 18.6% | +21.7% | +2349.5% |
| Sep 1993 | Sep 1993 | 1 | 0.9% | +16.5% | +2329.7% |
| May 1994 | May 1994 | 1 | 0.1% | -3.5% | +2184.1% |
| Nov 1994 | Jun 1995 | 29 | 20.3% | +8.8% | +2280.2% |
| Jul 1995 | Jul 1995 | 1 | 1.5% | -17.4% | +2141.3% |
| Oct 1995 | Nov 1995 | 3 | 10.9% | +0.8% | +2199.8% |
| Nov 1995 | Dec 1995 | 5 | 7.8% | +2.6% | +2148.2% |
| Jan 1996 | Oct 1996 | 39 | 25.0% | +31.2% | +2560.4% |
| Nov 1996 | Nov 1996 | 1 | 2.1% | +23.1% | +2262.5% |
| Apr 1997 | Apr 1997 | 1 | 0.7% | +36.5% | +2179.6% |
| Jun 1998 | Jun 1998 | 2 | 0.6% | -13.5% | +2056.1% |
| Jul 1998 | Aug 1999 | 57 | 41.7% | -10.6% | +2143.9% |
| Oct 1999 | Jun 2001 | 86 | 49.8% | -39.9% | +2251.4% |
| Jun 2001 | Dec 2001 | 28 | 28.9% | +20.0% | +2592.4% |
| Jan 2002 | Feb 2002 | 3 | 7.1% | -8.5% | +2863.0% |
| Jan 2003 | Feb 2003 | 3 | 7.5% | +69.2% | +3139.7% |
| Sep 2007 | Oct 2007 | 1 | 1.9% | +0.6% | +1275.5% |
| Oct 2007 | Sep 2009 | 99 | 45.9% | -13.1% | +1330.0% |
| Sep 2009 | Oct 2009 | 1 | 0.7% | +18.5% | +1286.1% |
| Oct 2009 | Nov 2009 | 1 | 4.7% | +26.3% | +1342.6% |
| Jan 2010 | Mar 2010 | 5 | 3.2% | +25.2% | +1303.7% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 3 | 3.5% | +30.2% | +1329.4% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 9 | 14.6% | +37.0% | +1336.8% |
| Dec 2015 | Feb 2016 | 9 | 10.7% | +37.3% | +655.0% |
| May 2020 | May 2020 | 1 | 2.1% | +89.9% | +389.1% |
| Average | 16 | — | +18.5% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WTS below its 200-week moving average?
No. Watts Water Technologies, Inc. (WTS) is currently 63.5% above its 200-week moving average of $210.39. It would need to fall to $210.39 to cross below the line.
What is WTS's 200-week moving average price?
Watts Water Technologies, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $210.39 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when WTS drops below its 200-week moving average?
WTS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 27 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +18.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 16 weeks on average.
Is WTS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about WTS as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 77 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 1.6%. Return on equity is 18.9%. Price-to-book is 5.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does WTS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in WTS would have grown to $2257, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 9.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. WTS has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does WTS pay a dividend?
Yes. Watts Water Technologies, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 65.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19