WTRG

Essential Utilities, Inc. Utilities - Water & Gas Investor Relations →

YES
0.5% BELOW
↓ Approaching Was 1.6% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $36.89
14-Week RSI 29 📉
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.3x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.79

Essential Utilities, Inc. (WTRG) closed at $36.70 as of 2026-06-19, trading 0.5% below its 200-week moving average of $36.89. This places WTRG in the below line zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 1.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 29, WTRG is in oversold territory.

Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.79 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 2365 weeks of data, WTRG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times. On average, these episodes lasted 14 weeks. Historically, investors who bought WTRG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +33.1%.

With a market cap of $10.4 billion, WTRG is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 8.3%. The stock trades at 1.5x book value.

Share count has increased 7.3% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in WTRG would have grown to $4110, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.7% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming WTRG as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: WTRG vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After WTRG Crosses Below the Line?

Across 11 historical episodes, buying WTRG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +14.8% after 12 months (median +5.0%), compared to +5.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +32.3% vs +19.7% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment WTRG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. WTRG currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.

Current Bean Score -1.28σ
Current FCF Yield -4.27%
Baseline Yield -3.92%
Historical σ 0.23pp

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 22 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from WTRG's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

Yield Dislocation +1.82σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score +0.86σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative N/A Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration +0.6pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History -2.0pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Stable Accrual gap trend (-2.5pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

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Historical Touches

WTRG has crossed below its 200-week MA 25 times with an average 1-year return of +33.1% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Apr 1981May 198124.5%+177.8%+42619.4%
Jun 1981Jun 198113.7%+185.7%+42742.1%
Oct 1987Nov 198725.8%+18.2%+7400.7%
Nov 1987Dec 198716.6%+12.1%+7426.7%
Aug 1988Aug 198810.0%+13.2%+6539.5%
Nov 1988Feb 1989165.1%+12.2%+6539.5%
Mar 1989May 1989113.1%+14.4%+6558.9%
Jun 1989Jun 198911.9%+12.5%+6441.9%
Jul 1989Jul 198910.1%+7.3%+6318.5%
Apr 1990Apr 199010.5%+9.3%+6110.3%
Jul 1990Dec 19902213.2%+19.0%+6239.1%
Jan 1991Jan 199111.0%+36.5%+6244.3%
Feb 2000Mar 200057.6%+57.1%+1214.4%
Mar 2000Apr 200011.4%+67.6%+1201.7%
Jul 2002Jul 200211.3%+51.2%+773.3%
Jan 2008Jul 201013030.5%-3.1%+268.1%
Jun 2022Jun 202210.8%+2.2%+0.4%
Sep 2022Oct 202247.0%-14.8%+0.3%
Feb 2023Apr 202511123.7%-14.3%-2.5%
May 2025Aug 2025136.2%-1.4%-1.3%
Sep 2025Sep 202534.3%N/A-1.6%
Dec 2025Dec 202530.3%N/A-1.6%
Feb 2026Feb 202611.2%N/A-0.1%
May 2026Jun 202631.1%N/A+0.1%
Jun 2026Ongoing1+0.5%OngoingN/A
Average14+33.1%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is WTRG below its 200-week moving average?

Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Essential Utilities, Inc. (WTRG) is trading 0.5% below its 200-week moving average of $36.89. The current price is $36.70.

What is WTRG's 200-week moving average price?

Essential Utilities, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $36.89 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when WTRG drops below its 200-week moving average?

WTRG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 25 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +33.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 14 weeks on average.

Is WTRG a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about WTRG as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 29 (oversold). Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 8.3%. Price-to-book is 1.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does WTRG compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in WTRG would have grown to $4110, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 11.7% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. WTRG has outperformed the broader market over this period.

Does WTRG pay a dividend?

Yes. Essential Utilities, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 373.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19