WRB
W.R. Berkley Corporation Financial Services - Insurance Investor Relations →
W.R. Berkley Corporation (WRB) closed at $69.99 as of 2026-09-18, trading 25.0% above its 200-week moving average of $55.99. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 25.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 56, indicating neutral momentum.
A big jump in activity this week — 4.3x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 2712 weeks of data, WRB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 23 times. On average, these episodes lasted 21 weeks. Historically, investors who bought WRB at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +17.4%.
With a market cap of $26.0 billion, WRB is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 11.7%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 20.2%, indicating strong profitability.
Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 5.0% reduction over three years. WRB passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in WRB would have grown to $6888, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 13.4% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming WRB as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 19 open-market purchases totaling $665,291,416. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 10.7% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: WRB vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After WRB Crosses Below the Line?
Across 11 historical episodes, buying WRB when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +8.1% after 12 months (median +23.0%), compared to +27.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 55% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +42.0% vs +46.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment WRB crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices WRB would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where WRB's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-19.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $67.25 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $69.72 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $72.38 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $75.25 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $78.36 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | $1.08 | $1.27 | +17.3% |
| 2026-04-21 | $1.14 | $1.30 | +14.1% |
| 2026-01-26 | $1.12 | $1.13 | +0.5% |
| 2025-10-20 | $1.10 | $1.10 | -0.2% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from WRB's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
WRB has crossed below its 200-week MA 23 times with an average 1-year return of +17.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 1974 | May 1975 | 32 | 46.6% | +20.8% | +243742.1% |
| May 1975 | Dec 1976 | 83 | 49.1% | -25.7% | +167107.9% |
| Apr 1977 | Apr 1977 | 1 | 2.3% | +125.0% | +182783.5% |
| Dec 1980 | Jan 1981 | 4 | 9.6% | +34.1% | +66402.9% |
| Oct 1981 | Nov 1981 | 5 | 2.7% | -3.6% | +52152.4% |
| Dec 1981 | Jan 1982 | 5 | 9.8% | -18.5% | +54087.5% |
| Feb 1982 | Feb 1982 | 1 | 0.6% | -23.3% | +50350.6% |
| Mar 1982 | Apr 1983 | 56 | 31.8% | -20.7% | +50350.6% |
| Jun 1983 | Jul 1983 | 3 | 3.4% | -3.7% | +54087.5% |
| Oct 1983 | Jan 1984 | 9 | 5.1% | +7.1% | +52152.4% |
| Jan 1984 | Sep 1984 | 36 | 9.5% | +7.3% | +53102.3% |
| Jan 1985 | Feb 1985 | 1 | 2.5% | +189.6% | +54087.5% |
| Nov 1994 | Dec 1994 | 6 | 6.0% | +26.2% | +8524.1% |
| Feb 1995 | Mar 1995 | 4 | 3.6% | +41.2% | +8495.7% |
| May 1995 | Jul 1995 | 7 | 2.2% | +22.8% | +8153.1% |
| Aug 1998 | Nov 1998 | 9 | 10.9% | -24.4% | +6006.8% |
| Nov 1998 | Nov 1998 | 1 | 0.5% | -31.4% | +5660.3% |
| Dec 1998 | Sep 2000 | 91 | 52.2% | -34.3% | +5706.6% |
| Mar 2008 | Dec 2008 | 40 | 37.0% | -30.0% | +1106.6% |
| Jan 2009 | Jun 2010 | 74 | 34.2% | -12.2% | +1088.3% |
| Jun 2010 | Sep 2010 | 11 | 4.1% | +26.3% | +1161.5% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 4.2% | +56.9% | +278.9% |
| May 2020 | May 2020 | 1 | 5.2% | +69.9% | +277.7% |
| Average | 21 | — | +17.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WRB below its 200-week moving average?
No. W.R. Berkley Corporation (WRB) is currently 25.0% above its 200-week moving average of $55.99. It would need to fall to $55.99 to cross below the line.
What is WRB's 200-week moving average price?
W.R. Berkley Corporation's 200-week moving average is $55.99 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when WRB drops below its 200-week moving average?
WRB has crossed below its 200-week moving average 23 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +17.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 21 weeks on average.
Is WRB a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about WRB as of 2026-09-18: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 56. Free cash flow yield is 11.7%. Return on equity is 20.2%. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does WRB compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in WRB would have grown to $6888, compared to $3167 for the S&P 500. That's 13.4% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. WRB has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does WRB pay a dividend?
Yes. W.R. Berkley Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 57.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18