WMK
Weis Markets, Inc. Consumer Staples - Grocery Investor Relations →
Weis Markets, Inc. (WMK) closed at $72.16 as of 2026-09-11, trading 5.7% above its 200-week moving average of $68.29. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 5.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 41, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.02 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2377 weeks of data, WMK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 48 times. On average, these episodes lasted 11 weeks. Historically, investors who bought WMK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +12.1%.
Return on equity stands at 7.3%. The stock trades at 1.3x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 8.0% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in WMK would have grown to $781, compared to $3170 for the S&P 500. WMK has returned 6.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -67.4% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: WMK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After WMK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 43 historical episodes, buying WMK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +12.8% after 12 months (median +12.0%), compared to +10.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 79% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +19.8% vs +25.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment WMK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices WMK would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where WMK's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-03.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $69.11 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $73.55 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $78.61 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $84.41 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $91.14 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-05-01 | $0.41 | $0.49 | +19.5% |
| 2014-10-31 | $0.42 | $0.51 | +20.3% |
| 2014-08-01 | $0.87 | $0.48 | -45.1% |
| 2014-05-07 | $0.67 | $0.55 | -17.3% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from WMK's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
WMK has crossed below its 200-week MA 48 times with an average 1-year return of +12.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1990 | Jan 1990 | 1 | 1.6% | +7.1% | +644.4% |
| Apr 1990 | May 1990 | 1 | 1.9% | +20.0% | +634.2% |
| Jun 1990 | Nov 1990 | 24 | 17.3% | +14.5% | +624.1% |
| Dec 1990 | Feb 1991 | 7 | 4.3% | -11.2% | +601.0% |
| Feb 1991 | Apr 1991 | 6 | 2.6% | -6.5% | +606.1% |
| Sep 1991 | Jul 1993 | 92 | 16.3% | -15.4% | +599.1% |
| Oct 1993 | Oct 1993 | 1 | 0.3% | +1.9% | +633.3% |
| Jan 1994 | Oct 1994 | 35 | 6.2% | +1.2% | +641.0% |
| Nov 1994 | Jan 1995 | 12 | 5.2% | +13.7% | +639.1% |
| Feb 1995 | Feb 1995 | 1 | 0.7% | +24.6% | +644.7% |
| Mar 1995 | Mar 1995 | 1 | 0.2% | +23.6% | +644.7% |
| May 2000 | May 2000 | 3 | 1.6% | +5.8% | +394.8% |
| Jun 2000 | Jul 2000 | 1 | 0.9% | +11.0% | +389.2% |
| Mar 2001 | Mar 2001 | 2 | 1.1% | -10.1% | +368.1% |
| Apr 2001 | May 2001 | 6 | 3.0% | -7.2% | +367.6% |
| Jul 2001 | May 2002 | 43 | 19.6% | +2.8% | +357.6% |
| Sep 2002 | Sep 2002 | 1 | 0.9% | +15.2% | +361.0% |
| Oct 2002 | Oct 2002 | 1 | 1.1% | +12.1% | +362.0% |
| Nov 2002 | Nov 2002 | 3 | 3.3% | +16.9% | +361.5% |
| Dec 2002 | Apr 2003 | 20 | 11.6% | +18.9% | +376.3% |
| May 2003 | Jun 2003 | 5 | 0.9% | +9.6% | +364.4% |
| Jun 2003 | Jul 2003 | 1 | 0.3% | +15.7% | +362.0% |
| Jan 2008 | Jul 2008 | 26 | 17.2% | -11.5% | +227.5% |
| Sep 2008 | Apr 2009 | 33 | 35.0% | -9.0% | +225.9% |
| May 2009 | Nov 2009 | 26 | 12.6% | +4.8% | +222.8% |
| Nov 2009 | Nov 2009 | 1 | 1.7% | +16.9% | +231.1% |
| Dec 2009 | Dec 2009 | 1 | 1.1% | +19.6% | +229.3% |
| Feb 2010 | Feb 2010 | 3 | 5.7% | +19.2% | +233.8% |
| May 2010 | Jul 2010 | 8 | 5.0% | +24.0% | +235.1% |
| Aug 2010 | Aug 2010 | 3 | 1.6% | +14.1% | +227.9% |
| Sep 2014 | Oct 2014 | 5 | 3.9% | +8.8% | +142.2% |
| Jun 2015 | Jul 2015 | 1 | 0.9% | +23.9% | +122.8% |
| Jul 2015 | Jul 2015 | 1 | 5.3% | +36.1% | +132.3% |
| Aug 2015 | Sep 2015 | 3 | 4.0% | +25.3% | +121.1% |
| Sep 2015 | Oct 2015 | 2 | 2.7% | +31.4% | +122.5% |
| Oct 2015 | Dec 2015 | 8 | 3.5% | +40.4% | +124.3% |
| Jan 2016 | Mar 2016 | 9 | 8.0% | +65.0% | +125.5% |
| Aug 2017 | Apr 2018 | 37 | 23.9% | +7.8% | +93.3% |
| Sep 2018 | Oct 2018 | 8 | 9.1% | -7.5% | +93.8% |
| Mar 2019 | Mar 2020 | 56 | 19.9% | -10.2% | +93.3% |
| Jan 2024 | Feb 2024 | 6 | 3.9% | +12.9% | +26.5% |
| Apr 2024 | Apr 2024 | 2 | 1.4% | +27.0% | +21.2% |
| Jun 2024 | Jul 2024 | 5 | 1.8% | +23.2% | +19.8% |
| Oct 2024 | Nov 2024 | 2 | 1.2% | +6.9% | +16.9% |
| Jan 2025 | Jan 2025 | 1 | 2.5% | +9.0% | +16.0% |
| Oct 2025 | Jan 2026 | 16 | 8.7% | N/A | +8.6% |
| Feb 2026 | Mar 2026 | 5 | 6.7% | N/A | +7.5% |
| Apr 2026 | Apr 2026 | 1 | 0.2% | N/A | +6.0% |
| Average | 11 | — | +12.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WMK below its 200-week moving average?
No. Weis Markets, Inc. (WMK) is currently 5.7% above its 200-week moving average of $68.29. It would need to fall to $68.29 to cross below the line.
What is WMK's 200-week moving average price?
Weis Markets, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $68.29 as of 2026-09-11. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when WMK drops below its 200-week moving average?
WMK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 48 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +12.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 11 weeks on average.
Is WMK a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about WMK as of 2026-09-11: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 41. Return on equity is 7.3%. Price-to-book is 1.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does WMK compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in WMK would have grown to $781, compared to $3170 for the S&P 500. That's 6.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. WMK has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does WMK pay a dividend?
Yes. Weis Markets, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 191.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-11