WLK
Westlake Corporation Materials - Chemicals Investor Relations →
Westlake Corporation (WLK) closed at $69.07 as of 2026-09-18, trading 35.0% below its 200-week moving average of $106.26. This places WLK in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -33.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 28, WLK is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.26 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1105 weeks of data, WLK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times. On average, these episodes lasted 21 weeks. Historically, investors who bought WLK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +6.4%.
With a market cap of $8.8 billion, WLK is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 0.3%. Return on equity stands at -11.9%. The stock trades at 1.0x book value.
Over the past 21.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in WLK would have grown to $594, compared to $907 for the S&P 500. WLK has returned 8.7% annualized vs 10.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: WLK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After WLK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 18 historical episodes, buying WLK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +7.1% after 12 months (median -5.0%), compared to +12.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 41% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +28.8% vs +18.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment WLK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. WLK currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | $1.89 | $2.01 | +6.6% |
| 2026-05-05 | $-0.24 | $-0.77 | -225.0% |
| 2026-02-24 | $-1.47 | $-0.25 | +83.0% |
| 2025-10-30 | $0.23 | $-0.29 | -227.5% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
the write-ups I read Simply Wall St · Visual company reports and write-ups. Free tier covers five reports a month. referral
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from WLK's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
WLK has crossed below its 200-week MA 18 times with an average 1-year return of +6.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2005 | Aug 2005 | 1 | 2.3% | +6.6% | +597.0% |
| Sep 2005 | Oct 2005 | 5 | 2.6% | +18.6% | +590.1% |
| Jun 2006 | Jun 2006 | 3 | 6.4% | +5.8% | +589.3% |
| Jul 2006 | Jul 2006 | 3 | 6.3% | +0.5% | +578.5% |
| Aug 2006 | Aug 2006 | 1 | 0.5% | -2.5% | +553.9% |
| Feb 2007 | Apr 2007 | 8 | 7.5% | -43.6% | +546.1% |
| May 2007 | Jul 2009 | 115 | 56.2% | -43.1% | +540.8% |
| Jan 2010 | Mar 2010 | 6 | 13.5% | +89.2% | +736.4% |
| May 2010 | Jul 2010 | 9 | 18.2% | +169.8% | +710.3% |
| Aug 2015 | Sep 2015 | 3 | 2.6% | +5.4% | +61.8% |
| Dec 2015 | Jan 2017 | 56 | 25.0% | +7.5% | +51.2% |
| Nov 2018 | Jan 2019 | 7 | 12.0% | +2.1% | +15.6% |
| Feb 2019 | Apr 2019 | 5 | 5.3% | -18.4% | +12.7% |
| Apr 2019 | Nov 2019 | 27 | 19.0% | -35.3% | +23.6% |
| Nov 2019 | Nov 2020 | 51 | 52.9% | +9.0% | +13.2% |
| Dec 2024 | Jan 2025 | 4 | 3.9% | -34.3% | -36.2% |
| Jan 2025 | Mar 2026 | 60 | 47.3% | -28.7% | -36.8% |
| May 2026 | Ongoing | 20+ | 35.0% | Ongoing | -25.4% |
| Average | 21 | — | +6.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WLK below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-18, Westlake Corporation (WLK) is trading 35.0% below its 200-week moving average of $106.26. The current price is $69.07.
What is WLK's 200-week moving average price?
Westlake Corporation's 200-week moving average is $106.26 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when WLK drops below its 200-week moving average?
WLK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 18 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +6.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 21 weeks on average.
Is WLK a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about WLK as of 2026-09-18: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 28 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 0.3%. Return on equity is -11.9%. Price-to-book is 1.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does WLK compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 21.2 years, $100 invested in WLK would have grown to $594, compared to $907 for the S&P 500. That's 8.7% annualized vs 10.9% for the index. WLK has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does WLK pay a dividend?
Yes. Westlake Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 309.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18