WK

Workiva Inc. Technology - Compliance Software Investor Relations →

YES
43.1% BELOW
↓ Approaching Was -41.3% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $83.21
14-Week RSI 31
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.1x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.80

Workiva Inc. (WK) closed at $47.37 as of 2026-06-19, trading 43.1% below its 200-week moving average of $83.21. This places WK in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -41.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 31, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.80 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 553 weeks of data, WK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times. On average, these episodes lasted 15 weeks. Historically, investors who bought WK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +44.7%.

With a market cap of $2.7 billion, WK is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 5.8%, which is healthy. The stock trades at -488.4x book value.

Share count has increased 7.0% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 10.7 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in WK would have grown to $262, compared to $427 for the S&P 500. WK has returned 9.5% annualized vs 14.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 161.3% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: WK vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After WK Crosses Below the Line?

Across 11 historical episodes, buying WK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +47.2% after 12 months (median +35.0%), compared to +21.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 88% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +82.0% vs +46.9% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment WK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices WK would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score +0.86σ
Current FCF Yield 6.64%
Baseline Yield 5.44%
Historical σ 0.47pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where WK's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-30.

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$45.45Unusually cheap — potential buy zone
Value+1σ$48.65Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$52.33Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$56.60Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$61.65Unusually expensive — potential trim zone

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 22 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from WK's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

2 stacked signals: drawdown, value_vs_history · earnings quality deteriorating
Yield Dislocation N/A Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score +1.50σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative N/A Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -0.8pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History +4.4pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Deteriorating Accrual gap trend (+4.3pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

Advertisement

Historical Touches

WK has crossed below its 200-week MA 11 times with an average 1-year return of +44.7% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Feb 2016Aug 20162625.8%+3.5%+281.7%
Nov 2016Feb 20171211.6%+55.2%+237.2%
Mar 2020Mar 202011.6%+219.1%+61.5%
May 2022May 202215.0%+31.8%-30.5%
Jun 2022Sep 20221616.8%+47.8%-30.0%
Oct 2022Nov 2022610.5%+33.9%-34.7%
Feb 2024Nov 20244024.5%-3.5%-45.8%
Feb 2025Oct 20253530.6%-30.5%-46.8%
Oct 2025Nov 202512.0%N/A-44.3%
Dec 2025Jan 202613.3%N/A-42.9%
Jan 2026Ongoing22+43.4%Ongoing-41.8%
Average15+44.7%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is WK below its 200-week moving average?

Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Workiva Inc. (WK) is trading 43.1% below its 200-week moving average of $83.21. The current price is $47.37.

What is WK's 200-week moving average price?

Workiva Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $83.21 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when WK drops below its 200-week moving average?

WK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 11 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +44.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 15 weeks on average.

Is WK a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about WK as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 31. Free cash flow yield is 5.8%. Price-to-book is -488.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does WK compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 10.7 years, $100 invested in WK would have grown to $262, compared to $427 for the S&P 500. That's 9.5% annualized vs 14.6% for the index. WK has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19