WING
Wingstop Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Restaurants Investor Relations →
Wingstop Inc. (WING) closed at $161.78 as of 2026-06-19, trading 35.3% below its 200-week moving average of $250.04. This places WING in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -35.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 41, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.86 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 527 weeks of data, WING has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 6 weeks. Historically, investors who bought WING at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +57.8%.
With a market cap of $4.4 billion, WING is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.0%. The stock trades at -5.5x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 8.0% over the past three years.
Over the past 10.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in WING would have grown to $801, compared to $420 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 22.7% vs 15.2% for the index — confirming WING as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 26.4% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: WING vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After WING Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying WING when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +71.5% after 12 months (median +119.0%), compared to +9.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +237.0% vs +30.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment WING crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices WING would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where WING's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-29.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $115.83 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $129.50 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $146.82 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $169.50 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $200.46 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from WING's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
WING has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +57.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2016 | Jul 2016 | 1 | 0.8% | +32.6% | +787.8% |
| Apr 2022 | Jul 2022 | 15 | 31.6% | +83.0% | +62.0% |
| Oct 2025 | Nov 2025 | 3 | 7.6% | N/A | -24.9% |
| Dec 2025 | Dec 2025 | 1 | 0.5% | N/A | -31.2% |
| Feb 2026 | Feb 2026 | 1 | 9.0% | N/A | -26.7% |
| Mar 2026 | Ongoing | 16+ | 48.3% | Ongoing | -29.1% |
| Average | 6 | — | +57.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WING below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Wingstop Inc. (WING) is trading 35.3% below its 200-week moving average of $250.04. The current price is $161.78.
What is WING's 200-week moving average price?
Wingstop Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $250.04 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when WING drops below its 200-week moving average?
WING has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +57.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 6 weeks on average.
Is WING a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about WING as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 41. Free cash flow yield is 2.0%. Price-to-book is -5.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does WING compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 10.2 years, $100 invested in WING would have grown to $801, compared to $420 for the S&P 500. That's 22.7% annualized vs 15.2% for the index. WING has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does WING pay a dividend?
Yes. Wingstop Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 74.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19