WH
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Hotels Investor Relations →
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc. (WH) closed at $68.06 as of 2026-09-18, trading 10.8% below its 200-week moving average of $76.27. This places WH in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -9.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 35, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.94 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 386 weeks of data, WH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times. On average, these episodes lasted 6 weeks. Historically, investors who bought WH at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +22.6%.
With a market cap of $5.1 billion, WH is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.2%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 39.4%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 10.6x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 12.7% over the past three years.
Over the past 7.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in WH would have grown to $137, compared to $289 for the S&P 500. WH has returned 4.3% annualized vs 15.2% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -3.7% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: WH vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After WH Crosses Below the Line?
Across 10 historical episodes, buying WH when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +22.4% after 12 months (median +16.0%), compared to +24.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 80% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +46.4% vs +47.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment WH crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices WH would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where WH's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-21.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $68.24 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $72.81 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $78.03 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $84.07 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $91.11 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | $1.41 | $1.48 | +4.9% |
| 2026-04-29 | $0.86 | $0.96 | +11.7% |
| 2026-02-18 | $0.89 | $0.93 | +4.4% |
| 2025-10-22 | $1.44 | $1.46 | +1.6% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from WH's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
WH has crossed below its 200-week MA 10 times with an average 1-year return of +22.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 4 | 6.3% | +3.7% | +54.7% |
| Sep 2019 | Oct 2019 | 4 | 5.5% | -2.3% | +49.9% |
| Feb 2020 | Aug 2020 | 26 | 51.6% | +29.8% | +50.1% |
| Sep 2020 | Nov 2020 | 6 | 8.3% | +59.2% | +53.4% |
| Sep 2022 | Sep 2022 | 1 | 1.1% | +22.5% | +23.4% |
| Oct 2025 | Dec 2025 | 9 | 5.4% | N/A | -8.2% |
| Dec 2025 | Jan 2026 | 1 | 0.5% | N/A | -8.0% |
| Jan 2026 | Feb 2026 | 1 | 3.7% | N/A | -4.9% |
| Mar 2026 | Mar 2026 | 1 | 2.9% | N/A | -5.7% |
| Jul 2026 | Ongoing | 9+ | 10.8% | Ongoing | -6.9% |
| Average | 6 | — | +22.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WH below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-18, Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc. (WH) is trading 10.8% below its 200-week moving average of $76.27. The current price is $68.06.
What is WH's 200-week moving average price?
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $76.27 as of 2026-09-18. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when WH drops below its 200-week moving average?
WH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 10 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +22.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 6 weeks on average.
Is WH a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about WH as of 2026-09-18: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 35. Free cash flow yield is 7.2%. Return on equity is 39.4%. Price-to-book is 10.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does WH compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 7.5 years, $100 invested in WH would have grown to $137, compared to $289 for the S&P 500. That's 4.3% annualized vs 15.2% for the index. WH has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does WH pay a dividend?
Yes. Wyndham Hotels & Resorts Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 253.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-18