WERN

Werner Enterprises, Inc. Industrials - Trucking Investor Relations →

NO
14.3% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 23.5% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $35.58
14-Week RSI 82
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.1x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.87

Werner Enterprises, Inc. (WERN) closed at $40.69 as of 2026-06-19, trading 14.3% above its 200-week moving average of $35.58. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 23.5% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 82, WERN is in overbought territory.

Trading volume is running at 1.1x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.87 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 2039 weeks of data, WERN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 42 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. Historically, investors who bought WERN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +16.5%.

With a market cap of $2.4 billion, WERN is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -1.2%. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.3% over the past three years.

Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in WERN would have grown to $1279, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. WERN has returned 7.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: WERN vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After WERN Crosses Below the Line?

Across 35 historical episodes, buying WERN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +15.0% after 12 months (median +11.0%), compared to +7.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 74% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +32.4% vs +15.5% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment WERN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. WERN currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.

Current Bean Score +1.50σ
Current FCF Yield -1.68%
Baseline Yield -2.40%
Historical σ 0.31pp

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 22 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from WERN's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

Yield Dislocation -0.30σ Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score +0.12σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative +0.78σ Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration -1.4pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity 44th TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History +3.2pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Improving Accrual gap trend (-4.9pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

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Historical Touches

WERN has crossed below its 200-week MA 42 times with an average 1-year return of +16.5% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
May 1987Jul 198778.6%-31.4%+3025.1%
Oct 1987Oct 19885234.6%-4.8%+2896.6%
Oct 1988Nov 198811.1%+17.6%+3117.0%
May 1989May 198920.1%+3.0%+3025.1%
Jun 1989Jul 198923.0%+11.9%+3117.0%
Jan 1990Mar 199063.8%+16.6%+3025.1%
Jul 1990Jan 19912439.0%+61.1%+3534.1%
Mar 1995Jul 19951613.0%+19.5%+1233.6%
Jul 1995Feb 19963014.7%+19.9%+1263.7%
Apr 1996Apr 199611.7%+28.0%+1091.6%
May 1996May 199622.5%+39.0%+1090.0%
Oct 1998Oct 199826.6%+35.0%+948.3%
Oct 1999Nov 199925.0%-28.2%+809.9%
Nov 1999Mar 20001924.5%-3.8%+802.5%
May 2000Dec 20003233.3%+22.9%+785.2%
Mar 2001Mar 200116.5%+81.4%+790.7%
Sep 2001Oct 200111.1%+49.3%+720.1%
Aug 2005Oct 2005108.5%+3.6%+357.2%
Jul 2006Oct 2006117.0%+11.6%+338.5%
Oct 2006Nov 200633.3%+0.4%+339.4%
Nov 2006Jan 200767.5%-3.5%+333.2%
Jan 2007Feb 200734.4%+5.6%+339.0%
Feb 2007Apr 200775.4%-3.4%+326.8%
May 2007May 200721.0%+2.0%+318.8%
Jun 2007Jun 200711.3%+4.0%+321.9%
Aug 2007Jan 20082215.4%+29.4%+322.2%
Feb 2008Apr 2008105.7%-6.8%+328.4%
May 2008May 200823.4%-0.9%+317.4%
Jun 2008Jul 200844.1%+16.6%+323.5%
Oct 2008Nov 2008711.7%+14.3%+321.4%
Dec 2008Dec 200816.2%+37.5%+341.6%
Jan 2009May 20092022.0%+33.6%+318.4%
Dec 2015Feb 2016812.0%+13.8%+110.4%
May 2016Nov 20162612.3%+9.9%+118.0%
Apr 2017Apr 201725.3%+40.9%+101.1%
Dec 2018Dec 201810.6%+41.0%+71.5%
May 2019May 201912.1%+71.2%+70.7%
Apr 2022Apr 202211.8%+28.1%+16.7%
Jun 2022Jun 202212.5%+20.7%+16.4%
Sep 2022Nov 202283.8%+5.2%+11.6%
Aug 2023Dec 20231512.8%-9.6%+2.8%
Jan 2024Apr 202612134.2%-8.8%+3.8%
Average12+16.5%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is WERN below its 200-week moving average?

No. Werner Enterprises, Inc. (WERN) is currently 14.3% above its 200-week moving average of $35.58. It would need to fall to $35.58 to cross below the line.

What is WERN's 200-week moving average price?

Werner Enterprises, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $35.58 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when WERN drops below its 200-week moving average?

WERN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 42 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +16.5%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 12 weeks on average.

Is WERN a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about WERN as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 82 (overbought). Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is -1.2%. Price-to-book is 1.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does WERN compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in WERN would have grown to $1279, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 7.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. WERN has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does WERN pay a dividend?

Yes. Werner Enterprises, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 133.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19