WEN
The Wendy's Company Consumer Discretionary - Restaurants Investor Relations →
The Wendy's Company (WEN) closed at $6.80 as of 2026-06-19, trading 51.5% below its 200-week moving average of $14.02. This places WEN in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -51.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 47, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.8x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.06 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2358 weeks of data, WEN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 27 times. On average, these episodes lasted 32 weeks. Historically, investors who bought WEN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +21.2%.
With a market cap of $1295 million, WEN is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 10.1%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 120.9%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 11.0x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 10.7% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in WEN would have grown to $264, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. WEN has returned 2.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 11.6% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: WEN vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After WEN Crosses Below the Line?
Across 22 historical episodes, buying WEN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +5.2% after 12 months (median +8.0%), compared to +17.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 55% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +24.9% vs +36.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment WEN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices WEN would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where WEN's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-07.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $5.72 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $6.15 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $6.65 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $7.25 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $7.96 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from WEN's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
WEN has crossed below its 200-week MA 27 times with an average 1-year return of +21.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1981 | Jan 1983 | 77 | 29.1% | -23.1% | +1158.3% |
| Feb 1983 | Feb 1983 | 1 | 2.1% | +12.5% | +1263.1% |
| Mar 1984 | Sep 1986 | 132 | 46.6% | -23.1% | +1158.3% |
| Nov 1986 | Jan 1987 | 6 | 6.7% | +166.7% | +1457.9% |
| Jul 1990 | Feb 1992 | 81 | 77.3% | -66.7% | +445.3% |
| Oct 1994 | Oct 1994 | 1 | 0.0% | +6.8% | +217.6% |
| Oct 1994 | Apr 1995 | 24 | 24.7% | -16.0% | +248.0% |
| Jul 1995 | Mar 1997 | 89 | 37.5% | -16.1% | +192.1% |
| Aug 1998 | Sep 1998 | 2 | 1.5% | +32.4% | +155.6% |
| Sep 1998 | Mar 1999 | 24 | 19.4% | +44.4% | +173.8% |
| Dec 1999 | Dec 1999 | 2 | 1.9% | +44.2% | +131.2% |
| Jan 2000 | Feb 2000 | 6 | 6.0% | +44.9% | +137.1% |
| Sep 2002 | Oct 2002 | 3 | 1.3% | +41.6% | +83.4% |
| Sep 2003 | Sep 2003 | 1 | 59.8% | +265.3% | +314.3% |
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 2 | 3.1% | -58.9% | -16.8% |
| Sep 2007 | Jul 2011 | 200 | 75.8% | -55.9% | -14.7% |
| Aug 2011 | Oct 2011 | 12 | 10.8% | -6.7% | +116.5% |
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 0.0% | -2.0% | +116.5% |
| May 2012 | Jun 2012 | 7 | 3.6% | +32.2% | +133.4% |
| Jul 2012 | Nov 2012 | 17 | 9.7% | +61.2% | +128.8% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 30.3% | +91.1% | -20.0% |
| Apr 2022 | Jul 2022 | 11 | 16.4% | +15.3% | -57.2% |
| Aug 2022 | Oct 2022 | 8 | 6.3% | +7.7% | -56.6% |
| Aug 2023 | Sep 2023 | 4 | 2.5% | -11.6% | -59.7% |
| Oct 2023 | Apr 2024 | 29 | 10.3% | -1.9% | -57.8% |
| May 2024 | Oct 2024 | 23 | 16.2% | -33.0% | -58.9% |
| Nov 2024 | Ongoing | 84+ | 54.2% | Ongoing | -58.1% |
| Average | 32 | — | +21.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WEN below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, The Wendy's Company (WEN) is trading 51.5% below its 200-week moving average of $14.02. The current price is $6.80.
What is WEN's 200-week moving average price?
The Wendy's Company's 200-week moving average is $14.02 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when WEN drops below its 200-week moving average?
WEN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 27 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +21.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 32 weeks on average.
Is WEN a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about WEN as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 47. Free cash flow yield is 10.1%. Return on equity is 120.9%. Price-to-book is 11.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does WEN compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in WEN would have grown to $264, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 2.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. WEN has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does WEN pay a dividend?
Yes. The Wendy's Company currently pays a dividend yield of 824.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19