WEC
WEC Energy Group Inc. Utilities - Electric Investor Relations →
WEC Energy Group Inc. (WEC) closed at $109.42 as of 2026-07-31, trading 19.6% above its 200-week moving average of $91.48. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 26.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 45, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.09 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2371 weeks of data, WEC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times. On average, these episodes lasted 14 weeks. Historically, investors who bought WEC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +12.8%.
With a market cap of $35.7 billion, WEC is a large-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 12.0%.
Share count has increased 3.2% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in WEC would have grown to $2880, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. WEC has returned 10.5% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: WEC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After WEC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying WEC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +8.8% after 12 months (median +7.0%), compared to +21.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 62% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +30.2% vs +39.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment WEC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. WEC currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from WEC's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
WEC has crossed below its 200-week MA 14 times with an average 1-year return of +12.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1981 | May 1981 | 13 | 10.2% | +40.0% | +22601.8% |
| Mar 1997 | Mar 1997 | 3 | 2.2% | +24.1% | +2422.7% |
| Apr 1997 | Apr 1997 | 1 | 3.0% | +30.1% | +2435.9% |
| May 1997 | Jun 1997 | 2 | 0.7% | +29.5% | +2371.2% |
| Aug 1999 | May 2001 | 88 | 27.0% | -7.8% | +2024.9% |
| Jul 2001 | Jul 2001 | 1 | 1.8% | +14.3% | +2084.8% |
| Oct 2001 | Oct 2001 | 2 | 1.4% | +11.4% | +2064.8% |
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2008 | 3 | 7.2% | +20.6% | +927.5% |
| Feb 2009 | Jul 2009 | 21 | 10.2% | +25.6% | +867.0% |
| Oct 2022 | Oct 2022 | 3 | 3.1% | -2.4% | +46.1% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 1 | 0.8% | -3.1% | +40.3% |
| May 2023 | Jun 2023 | 2 | 1.9% | -3.4% | +40.2% |
| Jun 2023 | Jul 2023 | 2 | 1.0% | -7.4% | +38.6% |
| Jul 2023 | Jul 2024 | 52 | 11.2% | +7.5% | +39.6% |
| Average | 14 | — | +12.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WEC below its 200-week moving average?
No. WEC Energy Group Inc. (WEC) is currently 19.6% above its 200-week moving average of $91.48. It would need to fall to $91.48 to cross below the line.
What is WEC's 200-week moving average price?
WEC Energy Group Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $91.48 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when WEC drops below its 200-week moving average?
WEC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 14 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +12.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 14 weeks on average.
Is WEC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about WEC as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 45. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 12.0%. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does WEC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in WEC would have grown to $2880, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 10.5% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. WEC has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does WEC pay a dividend?
Yes. WEC Energy Group Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 346.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31