WDFC
WD-40 Company Consumer Staples - Household Products Investor Relations →
WD-40 Company (WDFC) closed at $194.82 as of 2026-09-11, trading 9.4% below its 200-week moving average of $215.01. This places WDFC in the deep value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -3.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 47, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 14 weeks, up-weeks have carried more volume than down-weeks (1.54 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). When trading picks up, it's more often on days the price is rising — buyers are showing more interest than sellers.
Over the past 2736 weeks of data, WDFC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 36 times. On average, these episodes lasted 12 weeks. Historically, investors who bought WDFC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +19.0%.
With a market cap of $2.6 billion, WDFC is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.6%. Return on equity stands at 33.3%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 9.4x book value.
WDFC passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in WDFC would have grown to $2365, compared to $3170 for the S&P 500. WDFC has returned 9.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: WDFC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After WDFC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 22 historical episodes, buying WDFC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +18.1% after 12 months (median +24.0%), compared to +5.5% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 75% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +29.4% vs +17.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment WDFC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices WDFC would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where WDFC's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-10-21.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $160.37 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $178.79 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $201.99 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $232.11 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $272.78 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | $1.57 | $2.24 | +43.1% |
| 2026-04-09 | $1.41 | $1.50 | +6.4% |
| 2026-01-08 | $1.45 | $1.28 | -11.4% |
| 2025-10-22 | $0.82 | $1.57 | +91.5% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from WDFC's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
WDFC has crossed below its 200-week MA 36 times with an average 1-year return of +19.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1974 | Jun 1974 | 9 | 13.8% | -6.1% | +44562.8% |
| Jun 1974 | Apr 1975 | 42 | 53.1% | -36.2% | +44906.3% |
| May 1975 | Feb 1976 | 39 | 32.3% | +21.6% | +52610.2% |
| Mar 1982 | Mar 1982 | 3 | 8.2% | +104.2% | +12089.2% |
| Oct 1985 | Nov 1985 | 6 | 8.3% | +38.0% | +6767.2% |
| Oct 1987 | Nov 1987 | 1 | 0.0% | +28.1% | +4703.6% |
| Nov 1987 | Dec 1987 | 4 | 8.8% | +26.7% | +4727.4% |
| Feb 1988 | Feb 1988 | 1 | 1.9% | +24.8% | +4727.4% |
| Feb 1990 | Mar 1990 | 3 | 0.9% | -4.6% | +3864.0% |
| Apr 1990 | Apr 1990 | 1 | 0.1% | +2.5% | +3801.4% |
| May 1990 | Jun 1990 | 3 | 2.2% | +7.2% | +3801.4% |
| Jun 1990 | Jun 1990 | 1 | 0.5% | +10.6% | +3785.6% |
| Jul 1990 | Apr 1991 | 40 | 20.6% | +7.6% | +3833.3% |
| Aug 1998 | Aug 1998 | 1 | 6.2% | +21.4% | +1818.1% |
| Sep 1999 | Mar 2001 | 79 | 24.3% | -11.1% | +1529.9% |
| Mar 2001 | Jun 2001 | 13 | 15.8% | +58.2% | +1665.4% |
| Aug 2001 | Sep 2001 | 1 | 0.8% | +31.7% | +1552.4% |
| Sep 2001 | Oct 2001 | 3 | 7.9% | +48.4% | +1620.9% |
| Mar 2003 | Mar 2003 | 1 | 5.5% | +74.0% | +1505.3% |
| Sep 2005 | Oct 2005 | 3 | 4.8% | +40.4% | +1029.9% |
| Oct 2005 | Oct 2005 | 1 | 0.2% | +30.9% | +1008.5% |
| Dec 2005 | Jan 2006 | 1 | 3.5% | +36.6% | +1039.4% |
| Mar 2008 | Mar 2008 | 1 | 0.3% | -21.1% | +838.7% |
| Apr 2008 | Apr 2008 | 1 | 1.9% | -12.5% | +849.5% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 3 | 6.5% | -3.1% | +820.3% |
| Oct 2008 | Jul 2009 | 40 | 24.1% | +7.7% | +812.0% |
| Aug 2009 | Oct 2009 | 9 | 8.1% | +26.1% | +812.3% |
| Feb 2010 | Feb 2010 | 1 | 0.2% | +38.4% | +777.5% |
| Mar 2022 | Jul 2023 | 70 | 25.2% | -9.2% | +10.6% |
| Sep 2023 | Oct 2023 | 7 | 1.9% | +30.6% | +0.8% |
| Jul 2024 | Jul 2024 | 1 | 0.1% | +10.6% | -5.4% |
| Jul 2025 | Jul 2025 | 1 | 0.4% | +12.1% | -5.6% |
| Sep 2025 | Jan 2026 | 19 | 9.1% | -5.9% | -5.9% |
| Mar 2026 | Apr 2026 | 2 | 4.5% | N/A | -2.3% |
| May 2026 | Jun 2026 | 5 | 5.4% | N/A | -6.0% |
| Aug 2026 | Ongoing | 2+ | 9.4% | Ongoing | -6.1% |
| Average | 12 | — | +19.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WDFC below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-11, WD-40 Company (WDFC) is trading 9.4% below its 200-week moving average of $215.01. The current price is $194.82.
What is WDFC's 200-week moving average price?
WD-40 Company's 200-week moving average is $215.01 as of 2026-09-11. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when WDFC drops below its 200-week moving average?
WDFC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 36 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +19.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 12 weeks on average.
Is WDFC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about WDFC as of 2026-09-11: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 47. Free cash flow yield is 2.6%. Return on equity is 33.3%. Price-to-book is 9.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does WDFC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in WDFC would have grown to $2365, compared to $3170 for the S&P 500. That's 9.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. WDFC has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does WDFC pay a dividend?
Yes. WD-40 Company currently pays a dividend yield of 209.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-11