WDAY
Workday Inc. Technology - Enterprise Software Investor Relations →
Workday Inc. (WDAY) closed at $162.92 as of 2026-02-02, trading 26.1% below its 200-week moving average of $220.33. This places WDAY in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -20.4% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 17, WDAY is in oversold territory.
Over the past 647 weeks of data, WDAY has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 7 weeks. Historically, investors who bought WDAY at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +22.3%.
With a market cap of $43.5 billion, WDAY is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 6.2%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 7.3%. The stock trades at 4.8x book value.
Share count has increased 6.1% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 12.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in WDAY would have grown to $198, compared to $510 for the S&P 500. WDAY has returned 5.6% annualized vs 13.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 16.7% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Growth of $100: WDAY vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After WDAY Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying WDAY when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +28.8% after 12 months (median +27.0%), compared to +19.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 92% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +57.9% vs +39.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment WDAY crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
WDAY has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +22.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2014 | May 2014 | 3 | 3.6% | +30.9% | +141.0% |
| Jun 2015 | Jul 2015 | 1 | 0.8% | -1.9% | +115.0% |
| Aug 2015 | Oct 2015 | 7 | 8.4% | +14.3% | +126.8% |
| Jan 2016 | Mar 2016 | 12 | 35.4% | +3.9% | +129.2% |
| Apr 2016 | May 2016 | 4 | 7.0% | +16.6% | +117.3% |
| Jun 2016 | Jul 2016 | 3 | 2.5% | +39.6% | +120.1% |
| Nov 2016 | Jan 2017 | 6 | 16.6% | +40.8% | +128.2% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 12.1% | +101.0% | +30.3% |
| May 2022 | May 2023 | 55 | 35.2% | -4.2% | -14.0% |
| Oct 2023 | Oct 2023 | 1 | 0.9% | +15.4% | -20.9% |
| May 2024 | Jun 2024 | 5 | 6.1% | +7.7% | -26.3% |
| Jul 2024 | Aug 2024 | 2 | 5.2% | +3.4% | -24.2% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 3 | 3.9% | N/A | -25.0% |
| Jul 2025 | Jul 2025 | 1 | 1.1% | N/A | -27.1% |
| Jul 2025 | Aug 2025 | 4 | 1.5% | N/A | -26.7% |
| Sep 2025 | Sep 2025 | 1 | 0.1% | N/A | -27.1% |
| Nov 2025 | Ongoing | 11+ | 26.1% | Ongoing | -24.4% |
| Average | 7 | — | +22.3% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02