WD
Walker & Dunlop, Inc. Financial Services - Commercial Real Estate Finance Investor Relations →
Walker & Dunlop, Inc. (WD) closed at $40.53 as of 2026-09-11, trading 44.9% below its 200-week moving average of $73.55. This places WD in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -42.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 32, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.11 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 773 weeks of data, WD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 10 weeks. Historically, investors who bought WD at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +51.2%.
With a market cap of $1391 million, WD is a small-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 2.4%. The stock trades at 0.8x book value.
Share count has increased 3.1% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 14.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in WD would have grown to $420, compared to $792 for the S&P 500. WD has returned 10.1% annualized vs 14.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: WD vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After WD Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying WD when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +58.8% after 12 months (median +37.0%), compared to +19.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 94% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +67.3% vs +39.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment WD crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. WD currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | $1.13 | $1.19 | +5.1% |
| 2026-05-07 | $0.54 | $1.02 | +89.8% |
| 2026-02-26 | $1.46 | $0.28 | -80.8% |
| 2025-11-06 | $1.25 | $1.22 | -2.4% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from WD's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
WD has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +51.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2011 | Nov 2011 | 1 | 5.7% | +47.1% | +356.6% |
| Dec 2011 | Dec 2011 | 1 | 0.3% | +36.2% | +331.5% |
| Jan 2012 | Jan 2012 | 4 | 2.5% | +46.3% | +341.1% |
| Feb 2012 | Mar 2012 | 1 | 5.2% | +85.0% | +353.0% |
| May 2012 | Jun 2012 | 5 | 8.8% | +61.9% | +339.6% |
| Aug 2012 | Aug 2012 | 1 | 1.5% | +20.9% | +331.5% |
| Sep 2013 | Nov 2013 | 7 | 11.2% | +8.3% | +299.5% |
| Jan 2014 | Feb 2014 | 2 | 3.4% | +24.7% | +275.2% |
| Jun 2014 | Jun 2014 | 1 | 0.4% | +73.3% | +260.6% |
| Jun 2014 | Aug 2014 | 6 | 8.9% | +92.8% | +270.6% |
| Aug 2014 | Oct 2014 | 7 | 8.6% | +71.9% | +264.9% |
| Mar 2020 | Jun 2020 | 11 | 46.9% | +170.3% | +27.3% |
| Nov 2022 | Nov 2022 | 1 | 0.4% | +6.1% | -42.3% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 4 | 4.2% | +19.4% | -42.4% |
| Mar 2023 | Jul 2023 | 18 | 21.2% | +21.6% | -41.2% |
| Aug 2023 | Nov 2023 | 14 | 24.4% | +33.7% | -44.9% |
| Jan 2025 | Ongoing | 88+ | 46.4% | Ongoing | -49.7% |
| Average | 10 | — | +51.2% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is WD below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-09-11, Walker & Dunlop, Inc. (WD) is trading 44.9% below its 200-week moving average of $73.55. The current price is $40.53.
What is WD's 200-week moving average price?
Walker & Dunlop, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $73.55 as of 2026-09-11. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when WD drops below its 200-week moving average?
WD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +51.2%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 10 weeks on average.
Is WD a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about WD as of 2026-09-11: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 32. Return on equity is 2.4%. Price-to-book is 0.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does WD compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 14.9 years, $100 invested in WD would have grown to $420, compared to $792 for the S&P 500. That's 10.1% annualized vs 14.9% for the index. WD has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does WD pay a dividend?
Yes. Walker & Dunlop, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 671.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-11