W
Wayfair Inc. Consumer Discretionary - E-Commerce Investor Relations →
Wayfair Inc. (W) closed at $92.60 as of 2026-02-02, trading 64.8% above its 200-week moving average of $56.18. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 83.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 43, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 544 weeks of data, W has crossed below its 200-week moving average 4 times. On average, these episodes lasted 51 weeks. Historically, investors who bought W at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +101.9%.
With a market cap of $12.1 billion, W is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.4%. The stock trades at -4.3x book value.
Share count has increased 19.6% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 10.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in W would have grown to $256, compared to $430 for the S&P 500. W has returned 9.4% annualized vs 14.9% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: W vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After W Crosses Below the Line?
Across 4 historical episodes, buying W when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +135.2% after 12 months (median +129.0%), compared to +17.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 75% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +94.0% vs +27.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment W crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
W has crossed below its 200-week MA 4 times with an average 1-year return of +101.9% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 7 | 8.4% | +101.6% | +161.4% |
| Dec 2016 | Jan 2017 | 2 | 1.3% | +125.6% | +162.7% |
| Feb 2020 | Apr 2020 | 9 | 68.2% | +255.3% | +12.3% |
| Jan 2022 | Aug 2025 | 186 | 83.7% | -74.8% | -46.0% |
| Average | 51 | — | +101.9% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02