VZ
Verizon Communications Inc. Communication Services - Telecom Investor Relations →
Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) closed at $46.81 as of 2026-07-31, trading 29.7% above its 200-week moving average of $36.09. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 28.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 52, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.06 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2179 weeks of data, VZ has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought VZ at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +7.6%.
With a market cap of $195.5 billion, VZ is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 9.7%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 15.8%, a solid level. The stock trades at 1.9x book value.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in VZ would have grown to $951, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. VZ has returned 6.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 23.7% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: VZ vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After VZ Crosses Below the Line?
Across 22 historical episodes, buying VZ when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +5.3% after 12 months (median +5.0%), compared to +4.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 59% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +10.2% vs +12.8% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment VZ crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices VZ would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where VZ's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $40.16 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $45.31 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $51.98 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $60.95 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $73.65 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from VZ's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
VZ has crossed below its 200-week MA 22 times with an average 1-year return of +7.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1992 | Apr 1992 | 2 | 0.7% | +39.4% | +1156.3% |
| Aug 2000 | Sep 2000 | 7 | 10.3% | +33.9% | +346.4% |
| Oct 2000 | Oct 2000 | 1 | 0.4% | +15.8% | +295.3% |
| Mar 2001 | Mar 2001 | 3 | 4.1% | +0.6% | +282.3% |
| Aug 2001 | Sep 2001 | 4 | 3.0% | -35.9% | +259.6% |
| Oct 2001 | Aug 2004 | 146 | 42.8% | -24.9% | +252.8% |
| Jan 2005 | Feb 2006 | 56 | 13.4% | -8.3% | +325.6% |
| Apr 2006 | Apr 2006 | 1 | 0.1% | +26.5% | +353.9% |
| May 2006 | Jun 2006 | 6 | 5.1% | +41.2% | +364.3% |
| Jul 2006 | Jul 2006 | 2 | 2.5% | +43.0% | +361.2% |
| Sep 2008 | Nov 2008 | 9 | 22.8% | -1.2% | +299.0% |
| Jan 2009 | Mar 2009 | 11 | 15.3% | +8.4% | +315.6% |
| Apr 2009 | Nov 2009 | 32 | 9.7% | -1.0% | +286.4% |
| Jan 2010 | Jul 2010 | 28 | 12.7% | +31.4% | +283.5% |
| Sep 2015 | Oct 2015 | 1 | 0.7% | +27.0% | +95.9% |
| Jun 2017 | Jul 2017 | 4 | 2.6% | +18.3% | +73.5% |
| Nov 2021 | Dec 2021 | 4 | 3.1% | -20.1% | +24.8% |
| Dec 2021 | Jan 2022 | 1 | 0.0% | -20.0% | +22.1% |
| Mar 2022 | Apr 2022 | 3 | 2.4% | -23.3% | +23.4% |
| Apr 2022 | Jun 2024 | 113 | 30.1% | -10.8% | +33.8% |
| Jul 2024 | Jul 2024 | 1 | 0.6% | +14.7% | +33.1% |
| Jan 2025 | Jan 2025 | 1 | 1.8% | +12.4% | +36.6% |
| Average | 20 | — | +7.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VZ below its 200-week moving average?
No. Verizon Communications Inc. (VZ) is currently 29.7% above its 200-week moving average of $36.09. It would need to fall to $36.09 to cross below the line.
What is VZ's 200-week moving average price?
Verizon Communications Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $36.09 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when VZ drops below its 200-week moving average?
VZ has crossed below its 200-week moving average 22 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +7.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 20 weeks on average.
Is VZ a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about VZ as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 52. Free cash flow yield is 9.7%. Return on equity is 15.8%. Price-to-book is 1.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does VZ compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in VZ would have grown to $951, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 6.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. VZ has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does VZ pay a dividend?
Yes. Verizon Communications Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 605.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31