VXRT
Vaxart Inc. Healthcare - Biotechnology Investor Relations →
Vaxart Inc. (VXRT) closed at $0.64 as of 2026-03-20, trading 36.2% below its 200-week moving average of $1.00. This places VXRT in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -38.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 64, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 14 weeks, up-weeks have carried more volume than down-weeks (2.04 buyers-vs-sellers ratio). When trading picks up, it's more often on days the price is rising — buyers are showing more interest than sellers.
Over the past 2262 weeks of data, VXRT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 59 weeks. Historically, investors who bought VXRT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +49.7%.
With a market cap of $154 million, VXRT is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 22.3%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.
Share count has increased 78.9% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in VXRT would have grown to $0, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. VXRT has returned -15.5% annualized vs 10.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: VXRT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After VXRT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 16 historical episodes, buying VXRT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +42.8% after 12 months (median +46.0%), compared to +5.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +45.6% vs +15.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment VXRT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
VXRT has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +49.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1982 | Dec 1982 | 3 | 24.3% | +38.5% | -99.3% |
| Jan 1983 | Jan 1983 | 1 | 17.7% | +33.3% | -99.3% |
| Sep 1983 | Jun 1986 | 142 | 73.7% | -52.4% | -99.6% |
| Jun 1986 | Sep 1986 | 12 | 29.4% | +53.3% | -99.4% |
| Sep 1986 | Feb 1987 | 18 | 29.6% | -12.5% | -99.5% |
| Oct 1987 | Jul 1990 | 143 | 54.9% | -9.1% | -99.2% |
| Aug 1990 | Jan 1991 | 24 | 31.5% | +4.8% | -99.2% |
| Feb 1991 | Feb 1991 | 1 | 1.0% | +230.0% | -99.1% |
| Sep 1991 | Sep 1991 | 1 | 2.9% | +174.3% | -99.0% |
| Mar 1997 | Jan 2000 | 147 | 78.2% | -55.4% | -99.8% |
| Apr 2000 | May 2000 | 7 | 20.4% | +25.7% | -99.8% |
| Oct 2000 | Oct 2000 | 2 | 9.3% | +24.8% | -99.8% |
| Nov 2000 | Jan 2001 | 7 | 30.4% | +75.0% | -99.8% |
| Jan 2001 | Feb 2001 | 3 | 3.6% | +97.1% | -99.8% |
| Mar 2002 | Mar 2002 | 1 | 5.5% | +10.2% | -99.8% |
| Jun 2002 | Aug 2002 | 6 | 26.9% | +43.8% | -99.8% |
| Aug 2002 | Oct 2002 | 9 | 8.3% | +21.6% | -99.8% |
| Jan 2003 | Mar 2003 | 9 | 15.0% | +193.5% | -99.8% |
| Apr 2003 | Apr 2003 | 1 | 1.1% | +180.2% | -99.8% |
| Jul 2003 | Aug 2003 | 4 | 16.4% | +87.1% | -99.8% |
| Oct 2005 | Nov 2009 | 211 | 68.1% | +84.1% | -99.7% |
| Jul 2011 | Jun 2020 | 466 | 96.2% | -22.2% | -99.5% |
| Apr 2022 | Jul 2022 | 11 | 26.6% | -81.6% | -83.4% |
| Jul 2022 | Ongoing | 192+ | 86.7% | Ongoing | -82.9% |
| Average | 59 | — | +49.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VXRT below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, Vaxart Inc. (VXRT) is trading 36.2% below its 200-week moving average of $1.00. The current price is $0.64.
What is VXRT's 200-week moving average price?
Vaxart Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $1.00 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when VXRT drops below its 200-week moving average?
VXRT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +49.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 59 weeks on average.
Is VXRT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about VXRT as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 64. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 22.3%. Price-to-book is 1.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does VXRT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in VXRT would have grown to $0, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's -15.5% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. VXRT has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20