VXRT

Vaxart Inc. Healthcare - Biotechnology Investor Relations →

YES
45.3% BELOW
↑ Moving away Was -48.1% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $1.10
14-Week RSI 70

Vaxart Inc. (VXRT) closed at $0.60 as of 2026-02-02, trading 45.3% below its 200-week moving average of $1.10. This places VXRT in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -48.1% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 70, VXRT is in overbought territory.

Over the past 2256 weeks of data, VXRT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 24 times. On average, these episodes lasted 59 weeks. Historically, investors who bought VXRT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +49.7%.

With a market cap of $144 million, VXRT is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -106.5%. The stock trades at 5.1x book value.

Share count has increased 81.4% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in VXRT would have grown to $0, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. VXRT has returned -15.7% annualized vs 10.6% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.

Growth of $100: VXRT vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After VXRT Crosses Below the Line?

Across 16 historical episodes, buying VXRT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +42.8% after 12 months (median +46.0%), compared to +5.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +45.6% vs +15.7% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment VXRT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

VXRT has crossed below its 200-week MA 24 times with an average 1-year return of +49.7% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Nov 1982Dec 1982324.3%+38.5%-99.4%
Jan 1983Jan 1983117.7%+33.3%-99.3%
Sep 1983Jun 198614273.7%-52.4%-99.6%
Jun 1986Sep 19861229.4%+53.3%-99.5%
Sep 1986Feb 19871829.6%-12.5%-99.5%
Oct 1987Jul 199014354.9%-9.1%-99.3%
Aug 1990Jan 19912431.5%+4.8%-99.2%
Feb 1991Feb 199111.0%+230.0%-99.2%
Sep 1991Sep 199112.9%+174.3%-99.1%
Mar 1997Jan 200014778.2%-55.4%-99.9%
Apr 2000May 2000720.4%+25.7%-99.8%
Oct 2000Oct 200029.3%+24.8%-99.8%
Nov 2000Jan 2001730.4%+75.0%-99.8%
Jan 2001Feb 200133.6%+97.1%-99.8%
Mar 2002Mar 200215.5%+10.2%-99.8%
Jun 2002Aug 2002626.9%+43.8%-99.8%
Aug 2002Oct 200298.3%+21.6%-99.8%
Jan 2003Mar 2003915.0%+193.5%-99.8%
Apr 2003Apr 200311.1%+180.2%-99.8%
Jul 2003Aug 2003416.4%+87.1%-99.8%
Oct 2005Nov 200921168.1%+84.1%-99.7%
Jul 2011Jun 202046696.2%-22.2%-99.5%
Apr 2022Jul 20221126.6%-81.6%-84.5%
Jul 2022Ongoing186+86.7%Ongoing-84.0%
Average59+49.7%

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02