VTRS
Viatris Inc. Healthcare - Pharmaceuticals Investor Relations →
Viatris Inc. (VTRS) closed at $15.37 as of 2026-06-19, trading 50.7% above its 200-week moving average of $10.20. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 62.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 63, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.97 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2365 weeks of data, VTRS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times. On average, these episodes lasted 29 weeks. Historically, investors who bought VTRS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +15.8%.
With a market cap of $17.9 billion, VTRS is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 12.5%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -2.0%. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.2% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in VTRS would have grown to $200, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. VTRS has returned 2.1% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -9.7% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: VTRS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After VTRS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 25 historical episodes, buying VTRS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.5% after 12 months (median +6.0%), compared to +7.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 58% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +26.9% vs +11.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment VTRS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices VTRS would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where VTRS's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-06.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $13.08 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $14.09 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $15.27 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $16.66 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $18.33 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from VTRS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
VTRS has crossed below its 200-week MA 32 times with an average 1-year return of +15.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1981 | Mar 1981 | 1 | 6.5% | +123.4% | +1779.3% |
| Aug 1982 | Sep 1982 | 7 | 26.0% | +28.7% | +1179.5% |
| Sep 1983 | Sep 1983 | 2 | 5.1% | +69.6% | +973.9% |
| Feb 1984 | Mar 1984 | 1 | 9.7% | +32.4% | +983.6% |
| Feb 1985 | Mar 1985 | 5 | 9.6% | -2.9% | +759.1% |
| Aug 1985 | Mar 1986 | 32 | 31.2% | -27.2% | +661.2% |
| Jul 1986 | Aug 1989 | 161 | 55.6% | -34.0% | +615.9% |
| Mar 1994 | May 1994 | 10 | 14.8% | +85.8% | +291.4% |
| Jun 1996 | Jul 1997 | 57 | 31.6% | -14.3% | +169.4% |
| Aug 1999 | Nov 1999 | 13 | 18.9% | +21.0% | +109.4% |
| Dec 1999 | Dec 1999 | 1 | 6.0% | +23.8% | +122.9% |
| Jun 2000 | Aug 2000 | 9 | 25.3% | +73.9% | +162.4% |
| Nov 2000 | Nov 2000 | 1 | 4.1% | +51.8% | +98.9% |
| Jan 2001 | Mar 2001 | 12 | 11.6% | +67.4% | +113.2% |
| Apr 2002 | May 2002 | 3 | 2.4% | +49.9% | +66.1% |
| Jul 2004 | Aug 2004 | 4 | 12.1% | +18.1% | +33.1% |
| Oct 2004 | Nov 2004 | 4 | 2.6% | +21.9% | +16.1% |
| Jan 2005 | Jun 2005 | 23 | 11.1% | +21.9% | +14.8% |
| Jul 2005 | Aug 2005 | 6 | 4.5% | +10.3% | +11.7% |
| Sep 2005 | Sep 2005 | 1 | 1.3% | +12.3% | +8.4% |
| Jul 2006 | Jul 2006 | 3 | 2.8% | -6.7% | -1.2% |
| Dec 2006 | Jan 2007 | 2 | 1.2% | -32.2% | -4.0% |
| Feb 2007 | Mar 2007 | 4 | 4.4% | -40.0% | -3.3% |
| May 2007 | Oct 2009 | 125 | 64.1% | -37.9% | -3.0% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 1 | 2.9% | -6.0% | -54.3% |
| Apr 2016 | Jul 2016 | 12 | 12.3% | -10.5% | -54.2% |
| Aug 2016 | Jan 2024 | 387 | 58.3% | -29.0% | -55.6% |
| Feb 2024 | Feb 2024 | 1 | 0.8% | -4.4% | +46.3% |
| Apr 2024 | Apr 2024 | 2 | 2.5% | -30.5% | +49.3% |
| May 2024 | Jul 2024 | 9 | 9.8% | -18.0% | +51.6% |
| Feb 2025 | Aug 2025 | 24 | 27.6% | +70.0% | +77.8% |
| Sep 2025 | Oct 2025 | 3 | 3.3% | N/A | +65.9% |
| Average | 29 | — | +15.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VTRS below its 200-week moving average?
No. Viatris Inc. (VTRS) is currently 50.7% above its 200-week moving average of $10.20. It would need to fall to $10.20 to cross below the line.
What is VTRS's 200-week moving average price?
Viatris Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $10.20 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when VTRS drops below its 200-week moving average?
VTRS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +15.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 29 weeks on average.
Is VTRS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about VTRS as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 63. Free cash flow yield is 12.5%. Return on equity is -2.0%. Price-to-book is 1.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does VTRS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in VTRS would have grown to $200, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 2.1% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. VTRS has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19