VTRS
Viatris Inc. Healthcare - Pharmaceuticals Investor Relations →
Viatris Inc. (VTRS) closed at $17.56 as of 2026-07-31, trading 67.5% above its 200-week moving average of $10.48. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 65.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 67, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.17 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2371 weeks of data, VTRS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times. On average, these episodes lasted 29 weeks. Historically, investors who bought VTRS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +15.7%.
With a market cap of $20.4 billion, VTRS is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 10.9%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at -2.0%. The stock trades at 1.4x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 5.2% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in VTRS would have grown to $229, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. VTRS has returned 2.5% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -9.7% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: VTRS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After VTRS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 25 historical episodes, buying VTRS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.5% after 12 months (median +6.0%), compared to +7.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 58% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +26.9% vs +11.7% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment VTRS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices VTRS would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where VTRS's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-06.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $13.26 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $14.26 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $15.42 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $16.78 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $18.41 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from VTRS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
VTRS has crossed below its 200-week MA 32 times with an average 1-year return of +15.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1981 | Mar 1981 | 1 | 6.5% | +123.4% | +2047.1% |
| Aug 1982 | Sep 1982 | 7 | 26.0% | +28.7% | +1361.8% |
| Sep 1983 | Sep 1983 | 2 | 5.1% | +69.6% | +1126.9% |
| Feb 1984 | Mar 1984 | 1 | 9.7% | +32.4% | +1137.9% |
| Feb 1985 | Mar 1985 | 5 | 9.6% | -2.9% | +881.5% |
| Aug 1985 | Mar 1986 | 32 | 31.2% | -27.2% | +769.7% |
| Jul 1986 | Aug 1989 | 161 | 55.6% | -34.0% | +717.9% |
| Mar 1994 | May 1994 | 10 | 14.8% | +85.4% | +346.2% |
| Jun 1996 | Jul 1997 | 57 | 31.6% | -14.3% | +207.1% |
| Aug 1999 | Nov 1999 | 13 | 18.9% | +21.0% | +139.2% |
| Dec 1999 | Dec 1999 | 1 | 6.0% | +23.8% | +154.7% |
| Jun 2000 | Aug 2000 | 9 | 25.3% | +73.9% | +199.7% |
| Nov 2000 | Nov 2000 | 1 | 4.1% | +51.8% | +127.2% |
| Jan 2001 | Mar 2001 | 12 | 11.6% | +67.4% | +143.6% |
| Apr 2002 | May 2002 | 3 | 2.5% | +49.9% | +89.8% |
| Jul 2004 | Aug 2004 | 4 | 12.1% | +18.1% | +52.1% |
| Oct 2004 | Nov 2004 | 4 | 2.7% | +21.9% | +32.7% |
| Jan 2005 | Jun 2005 | 23 | 11.1% | +21.9% | +31.1% |
| Jul 2005 | Aug 2005 | 6 | 4.5% | +10.3% | +27.6% |
| Sep 2005 | Sep 2005 | 1 | 1.3% | +12.3% | +23.8% |
| Jul 2006 | Jul 2006 | 3 | 2.8% | -6.7% | +12.8% |
| Dec 2006 | Jan 2007 | 2 | 1.0% | -32.2% | +9.6% |
| Feb 2007 | Mar 2007 | 4 | 4.4% | -40.0% | +10.5% |
| May 2007 | Oct 2009 | 125 | 64.1% | -37.9% | +10.9% |
| Feb 2016 | Feb 2016 | 1 | 2.9% | -6.0% | -47.8% |
| Apr 2016 | Jul 2016 | 12 | 12.3% | -10.5% | -47.7% |
| Aug 2016 | Jan 2024 | 387 | 58.3% | -29.0% | -49.3% |
| Feb 2024 | Feb 2024 | 1 | 0.8% | -4.4% | +67.1% |
| Apr 2024 | Apr 2024 | 2 | 2.6% | -30.5% | +70.6% |
| May 2024 | Jul 2024 | 9 | 9.9% | -18.0% | +73.2% |
| Feb 2025 | Aug 2025 | 24 | 27.7% | +70.0% | +103.1% |
| Sep 2025 | Oct 2025 | 3 | 3.4% | N/A | +89.6% |
| Average | 29 | — | +15.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VTRS below its 200-week moving average?
No. Viatris Inc. (VTRS) is currently 67.5% above its 200-week moving average of $10.48. It would need to fall to $10.48 to cross below the line.
What is VTRS's 200-week moving average price?
Viatris Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $10.48 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when VTRS drops below its 200-week moving average?
VTRS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 32 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +15.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 29 weeks on average.
Is VTRS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about VTRS as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 67. Free cash flow yield is 10.9%. Return on equity is -2.0%. Price-to-book is 1.4x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does VTRS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.6 years, $100 invested in VTRS would have grown to $229, compared to $3098 for the S&P 500. That's 2.5% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. VTRS has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does VTRS pay a dividend?
Yes. Viatris Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 273.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31