VTR
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Ventas Inc. (VTR) closed at $88.02 as of 2026-05-01, trading 63.2% above its 200-week moving average of $53.94. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 55.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 72, VTR is in overbought territory.
A big jump in activity this week — 2.3x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 1464 weeks of data, VTR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 24 weeks. Historically, investors who bought VTR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +4.8%.
With a market cap of $42.8 billion, VTR is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.5%. Return on equity stands at 2.1%. The stock trades at 3.3x book value.
Share count has increased 18.8% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 28.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in VTR would have grown to $1884, compared to $1049 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.0% vs 8.7% for the index — confirming VTR as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 14.6% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: VTR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After VTR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying VTR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +5.1% after 12 months (median +4.0%), compared to +16.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 65% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +22.8% vs +36.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment VTR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
VTR has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +4.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1998 | Feb 2001 | 148 | 73.6% | -74.2% | +2166.0% |
| Oct 2008 | Jul 2009 | 40 | 41.8% | +33.9% | +427.5% |
| Aug 2015 | May 2016 | 37 | 27.4% | +29.6% | +135.4% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 1 | 1.3% | +7.7% | +106.5% |
| Oct 2016 | Mar 2017 | 20 | 10.6% | +6.0% | +108.0% |
| Oct 2017 | Oct 2017 | 1 | 0.4% | -3.8% | +101.2% |
| Dec 2017 | Nov 2018 | 46 | 22.2% | +6.2% | +109.1% |
| Dec 2019 | Dec 2019 | 1 | 3.2% | -5.7% | +103.9% |
| Dec 2019 | Jan 2020 | 1 | 0.8% | -8.3% | +98.3% |
| Feb 2020 | Feb 2021 | 50 | 61.9% | +4.5% | +107.6% |
| Nov 2021 | Dec 2021 | 5 | 5.2% | -4.7% | +107.3% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 2.8% | -2.1% | +106.2% |
| Aug 2022 | Jan 2023 | 23 | 26.9% | -4.4% | +104.5% |
| Mar 2023 | Apr 2023 | 7 | 11.8% | +3.4% | +119.4% |
| May 2023 | Jun 2023 | 7 | 8.8% | +6.4% | +108.6% |
| Jul 2023 | Nov 2023 | 16 | 11.7% | +30.5% | +113.9% |
| Feb 2024 | Apr 2024 | 11 | 6.4% | +57.3% | +115.3% |
| Average | 24 | — | +4.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VTR below its 200-week moving average?
No. Ventas Inc. (VTR) is currently 63.2% above its 200-week moving average of $53.94. It would need to fall to $53.94 to cross below the line.
What is VTR's 200-week moving average price?
Ventas Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $53.94 as of 2026-05-01. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when VTR drops below its 200-week moving average?
VTR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +4.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 24 weeks on average.
Is VTR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about VTR as of 2026-05-01: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 72 (overbought). Free cash flow yield is 3.5%. Return on equity is 2.1%. Price-to-book is 3.3x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does VTR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 28.1 years, $100 invested in VTR would have grown to $1884, compared to $1049 for the S&P 500. That's 11.0% annualized vs 8.7% for the index. VTR has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does VTR pay a dividend?
Yes. Ventas Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 236.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-05-01