VTR
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Ventas Inc. (VTR) closed at $82.55 as of 2026-02-02, trading 58.5% above its 200-week moving average of $52.09. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 49.5% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 68, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1452 weeks of data, VTR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 17 times. On average, these episodes lasted 24 weeks. Historically, investors who bought VTR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +4.8%.
With a market cap of $39.2 billion, VTR is a large-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 2.2%. The stock trades at 3.1x book value.
Share count has increased 9.4% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 27.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in VTR would have grown to $1756, compared to $1005 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 10.8% vs 8.6% for the index — confirming VTR as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 7% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: VTR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After VTR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 17 historical episodes, buying VTR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +5.1% after 12 months (median +4.0%), compared to +16.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 65% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +22.4% vs +36.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment VTR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
VTR has crossed below its 200-week MA 17 times with an average 1-year return of +4.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1998 | Feb 2001 | 148 | 73.6% | -74.2% | +2011.6% |
| Oct 2008 | Jul 2009 | 40 | 41.8% | +33.9% | +391.5% |
| Aug 2015 | May 2016 | 37 | 27.4% | +29.6% | +119.3% |
| May 2016 | May 2016 | 1 | 1.3% | +7.7% | +92.4% |
| Oct 2016 | Mar 2017 | 20 | 10.6% | +6.0% | +93.9% |
| Oct 2017 | Oct 2017 | 1 | 0.4% | -3.8% | +87.5% |
| Dec 2017 | Nov 2018 | 46 | 22.2% | +6.2% | +94.9% |
| Dec 2019 | Dec 2019 | 1 | 3.2% | -5.7% | +90.0% |
| Dec 2019 | Jan 2020 | 1 | 0.8% | -8.3% | +84.8% |
| Feb 2020 | Feb 2021 | 50 | 61.9% | +4.5% | +93.5% |
| Nov 2021 | Dec 2021 | 5 | 5.2% | -4.7% | +93.2% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 1 | 2.8% | -2.1% | +92.1% |
| Aug 2022 | Jan 2023 | 23 | 26.9% | -4.4% | +90.6% |
| Mar 2023 | Apr 2023 | 7 | 11.8% | +3.4% | +104.5% |
| May 2023 | Jun 2023 | 7 | 8.8% | +6.4% | +94.4% |
| Jul 2023 | Nov 2023 | 16 | 11.7% | +30.5% | +99.3% |
| Feb 2024 | Apr 2024 | 11 | 6.4% | +57.3% | +100.6% |
| Average | 24 | — | +4.8% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02