VTOL

Bristow Group Inc. Energy - Helicopter Services Investor Relations →

NO
31.5% ABOVE
↓ Approaching Was 36.8% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $32.21
14-Week RSI 50
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.9x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.87

Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL) closed at $42.35 as of 2026-06-19, trading 31.5% above its 200-week moving average of $32.21. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 36.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 50, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.87 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 651 weeks of data, VTOL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times. On average, these episodes lasted 22 weeks. Historically, investors who bought VTOL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +20.8%.

With a market cap of $1254 million, VTOL is a small-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.7%. Return on equity stands at 11.6%. The stock trades at 1.2x book value.

Share count has increased 3.1% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 12.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in VTOL would have grown to $67, compared to $502 for the S&P 500. VTOL has returned -3.1% annualized vs 13.7% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.

Free cash flow has been declining at a -15.3% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: VTOL vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After VTOL Crosses Below the Line?

Across 16 historical episodes, buying VTOL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +17.2% after 12 months (median +21.0%), compared to +19.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 75% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +35.0% vs +39.1% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment VTOL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices VTOL would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score +1.65σ
Current FCF Yield 4.83%
Baseline Yield 4.27%
Historical σ 0.57pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where VTOL's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-04.

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$40.00Unusually cheap — potential buy zone
Value+1σ$45.12Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$51.76Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$60.68Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$73.32Unusually expensive — potential trim zone

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 22 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

11 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from VTOL's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

Yield Dislocation N/A Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -1.14σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative N/A Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration +0.9pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity N/A TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History +6.9pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Stable Accrual gap trend (-2.9pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

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Historical Touches

VTOL has crossed below its 200-week MA 16 times with an average 1-year return of +20.8% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Jul 2014Jul 201820866.8%-36.2%-19.8%
Aug 2018Mar 20193328.6%-17.2%+70.0%
Apr 2019Feb 20204434.1%-55.5%+116.7%
Feb 2020Aug 20202564.5%+35.8%+117.3%
Aug 2020Sep 202016.0%+79.6%+119.9%
Sep 2020Sep 202012.3%+53.8%+111.5%
Jun 2022Jun 202221.7%+12.7%+84.7%
Jul 2022Jul 202213.5%+31.3%+88.3%
Sep 2022Oct 202221.1%+20.3%+82.4%
Dec 2022Dec 202223.2%+11.2%+83.5%
Mar 2023Jun 20231414.2%+9.6%+82.1%
Dec 2023Dec 202310.1%+35.1%+65.0%
Jan 2024Feb 202431.4%+41.7%+65.3%
Mar 2024Mar 202434.2%+27.2%+66.2%
Apr 2024Apr 202436.9%+6.8%+66.5%
Mar 2025Jun 202599.9%+76.2%+58.4%
Average22+20.8%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is VTOL below its 200-week moving average?

No. Bristow Group Inc. (VTOL) is currently 31.5% above its 200-week moving average of $32.21. It would need to fall to $32.21 to cross below the line.

What is VTOL's 200-week moving average price?

Bristow Group Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $32.21 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when VTOL drops below its 200-week moving average?

VTOL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 16 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +20.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 22 weeks on average.

Is VTOL a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about VTOL as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 50. Free cash flow yield is 3.7%. Return on equity is 11.6%. Price-to-book is 1.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does VTOL compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 12.6 years, $100 invested in VTOL would have grown to $67, compared to $502 for the S&P 500. That's -3.1% annualized vs 13.7% for the index. VTOL has underperformed the broader market over this period.

Does VTOL pay a dividend?

Yes. Bristow Group Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 116.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-06-19