VRSN

VeriSign Inc. Technology - Internet Infrastructure Investor Relations →

NO
31.6% ABOVE
↑ Moving away Was 27.4% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $220.36
14-Week RSI 57
Rel. Volume (14w) This week's trading vs. the 14-week average 1.3x
Buyers vs. Sellers (14w) Are up-weeks or down-weeks getting more volume? 0.90

VeriSign Inc. (VRSN) closed at $290.02 as of 2026-07-31, trading 31.6% above its 200-week moving average of $220.36. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 27.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 57, indicating neutral momentum.

Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.90 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.

Over the past 1439 weeks of data, VRSN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times. On average, these episodes lasted 30 weeks. Historically, investors who bought VRSN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +10.7%.

With a market cap of $26.2 billion, VRSN is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.2%. The stock trades at -11.6x book value.

The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 12.7% over the past three years.

Over the past 27.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in VRSN would have grown to $1456, compared to $944 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 10.2% vs 8.5% for the index — confirming VRSN as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 10% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.

Business Health

Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.

Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)

Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy

Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)

ROIC Return on invested capital (%)

FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal

Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)

Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)

Growth of $100: VRSN vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After VRSN Crosses Below the Line?

Across 13 historical episodes, buying VRSN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +9.5% after 12 months (median +0.0%), compared to +14.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 46% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +19.2% vs +23.8% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment VRSN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

Bean Score Experimental

The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices VRSN would reach each dislocation threshold.

Current Bean Score +0.56σ
Current FCF Yield 4.49%
Baseline Yield 4.44%
Historical σ 0.30pp

Dislocation Price Levels

Prices where VRSN's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).

LevelσPriceSignal
Deep Value+2σ$233.96Unusually cheap — potential buy zone
Value+1σ$249.17Cheap vs. own history
Fair Value+0σ$266.49Historical mean behavior
Expensive-1σ$286.39Expensive vs. own history
Deep Expensive-2σ$309.52Unusually expensive — potential trim zone

Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end

Data depth: 2 quarterly baselines, 26 price observations — Limited history (4+ quarters preferred for reliability)

Signal Accuracy Collecting Data

The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"

12 / 13 weeks minimum

Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.

Dislocation Scores Experimental

Each score measures deviation from VRSN's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.

Yield Dislocation N/A Dividend yield vs own 10-yr norm
Drawdown Score -0.08σ Distance from line vs own history
Sector-Relative N/A Vs sector median this week
Buyback Acceleration +1.1pp YoY share change vs own 3-yr pace (− = accelerating)
Insider Intensity 3th TTM buys / market cap, percentile of buyers
FCF Yield vs History -1.0pp Vs own recent annual mean
Earnings Quality Improving Accrual gap trend (-9.9pp of revenue)

Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.

Historical Touches

VRSN has crossed below its 200-week MA 13 times with an average 1-year return of +10.7% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Dec 2000Jan 200128.2%-47.6%+367.4%
Jan 2001Oct 200419493.7%-54.1%+413.7%
Jul 2006Sep 2006812.4%+69.7%+1725.8%
Sep 2008Mar 20107736.0%-16.3%+1180.8%
Mar 2010Mar 201011.5%+51.9%+1236.6%
May 2010May 201015.7%+67.9%+1289.7%
Jun 2010Jul 201012.6%+52.9%+1228.4%
Apr 2022Aug 20221520.8%+24.1%+64.8%
Aug 2022Dec 20221713.6%+9.7%+57.0%
Feb 2023Mar 202356.3%-0.9%+48.4%
Jul 2023Oct 202393.1%-8.5%+43.5%
Oct 2023Nov 202326.7%-5.9%+52.8%
Dec 2023Dec 20245318.2%-3.7%+42.7%
Average30+10.7%

Frequently Asked Questions

Is VRSN below its 200-week moving average?

No. VeriSign Inc. (VRSN) is currently 31.6% above its 200-week moving average of $220.36. It would need to fall to $220.36 to cross below the line.

What is VRSN's 200-week moving average price?

VeriSign Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $220.36 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.

What happens when VRSN drops below its 200-week moving average?

VRSN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 13 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +10.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 30 weeks on average.

Is VRSN a good value right now?

Here's what our data says about VRSN as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 57. Free cash flow yield is 3.2%. Price-to-book is -11.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.

How does VRSN compare to the S&P 500?

Over the past 27.6 years, $100 invested in VRSN would have grown to $1456, compared to $944 for the S&P 500. That's 10.2% annualized vs 8.5% for the index. VRSN has outperformed the broader market over this period.

Does VRSN pay a dividend?

Yes. VeriSign Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 113.00%.

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of week of 2026-07-31