VRSK
Verisk Analytics, Inc. Industrials - Consulting Services Investor Relations →
Verisk Analytics, Inc. (VRSK) closed at $194.85 as of 2026-07-31, trading 16.1% below its 200-week moving average of $232.23. This places VRSK in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -13.3% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 60, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.3x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.72 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 829 weeks of data, VRSK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times. On average, these episodes lasted 10 weeks. Historically, investors who bought VRSK at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +36.0%.
With a market cap of $25.4 billion, VRSK is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.2%. The stock trades at -21.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 10.5% over the past three years.
Over the past 15.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in VRSK would have grown to $724, compared to $865 for the S&P 500. VRSK has returned 13.2% annualized vs 14.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 15% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: VRSK vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After VRSK Crosses Below the Line?
Across 5 historical episodes, buying VRSK when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +30.5% after 12 months (median +30.0%), compared to +15.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +63.2% vs +46.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment VRSK crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices VRSK would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where VRSK's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $152.67 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $161.85 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $172.19 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $183.95 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $197.43 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from VRSK's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
VRSK has crossed below its 200-week MA 5 times with an average 1-year return of +36.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2010 | Oct 2010 | 4 | 2.4% | +24.2% | +631.9% |
| Jun 2022 | Jun 2022 | 2 | 2.2% | +34.6% | +22.3% |
| Oct 2022 | Nov 2022 | 5 | 3.1% | +41.6% | +17.2% |
| Feb 2023 | Feb 2023 | 1 | 2.5% | +43.5% | +16.3% |
| Oct 2025 | Ongoing | 40+ | 30.2% | Ongoing | -10.3% |
| Average | 10 | — | +36.0% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VRSK below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-07-31, Verisk Analytics, Inc. (VRSK) is trading 16.1% below its 200-week moving average of $232.23. The current price is $194.85.
What is VRSK's 200-week moving average price?
Verisk Analytics, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $232.23 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when VRSK drops below its 200-week moving average?
VRSK has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +36.0%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 10 weeks on average.
Is VRSK a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about VRSK as of 2026-07-31: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 60. Free cash flow yield is 4.2%. Price-to-book is -21.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does VRSK compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 15.9 years, $100 invested in VRSK would have grown to $724, compared to $865 for the S&P 500. That's 13.2% annualized vs 14.5% for the index. VRSK has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does VRSK pay a dividend?
Yes. Verisk Analytics, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 103.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31