VMC
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Vulcan Materials Company (VMC) closed at $323.72 as of 2026-02-02, trading 42.4% above its 200-week moving average of $227.39. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 32.6% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 69, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 2715 weeks of data, VMC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 21 weeks. Historically, investors who bought VMC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +20.0%.
With a market cap of $42.8 billion, VMC is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 2.2%. Return on equity stands at 13.5%. The stock trades at 4.9x book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in VMC would have grown to $3409, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 11.2% vs 10.6% for the index — confirming VMC as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 12.9% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: VMC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After VMC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 16 historical episodes, buying VMC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +18.6% after 12 months (median +21.0%), compared to +6.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 77% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +33.4% vs +23.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment VMC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
VMC has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +20.0% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1974 | Oct 1974 | 16 | 13.3% | +48.5% | +64851.7% |
| Nov 1974 | Jan 1975 | 10 | 13.8% | +21.8% | +62279.4% |
| Aug 1990 | Apr 1991 | 34 | 20.9% | +3.4% | +4766.6% |
| May 1991 | Jun 1991 | 2 | 2.9% | +22.0% | +4710.3% |
| Jul 1991 | Aug 1991 | 7 | 4.2% | +22.4% | +4624.7% |
| Nov 1991 | Jan 1992 | 8 | 8.2% | +25.9% | +4554.0% |
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 1 | 6.5% | +2.3% | +1088.7% |
| Jul 2002 | Aug 2003 | 57 | 27.9% | -2.8% | +1015.4% |
| Sep 2003 | Sep 2003 | 1 | 2.3% | +25.7% | +991.4% |
| Dec 2007 | May 2008 | 19 | 10.4% | +1.4% | +459.8% |
| Jun 2008 | Sep 2008 | 13 | 32.4% | -32.2% | +452.8% |
| Sep 2008 | Feb 2012 | 175 | 51.6% | -19.0% | +505.0% |
| Feb 2012 | Mar 2012 | 1 | 3.0% | +19.3% | +716.1% |
| Mar 2012 | Jul 2012 | 16 | 24.7% | +16.6% | +706.3% |
| Jul 2012 | Sep 2012 | 7 | 9.5% | +23.1% | +794.6% |
| Oct 2018 | Feb 2019 | 18 | 18.8% | +47.5% | +241.6% |
| Feb 2020 | Jul 2020 | 20 | 29.9% | +40.4% | +183.4% |
| Jul 2020 | Aug 2020 | 1 | 2.4% | +54.7% | +188.5% |
| Jun 2022 | Jul 2022 | 1 | 0.5% | +59.7% | +133.6% |
| Average | 21 | — | +20.0% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02