VIST
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. Energy - Oil & Gas E&P Investor Relations →
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) closed at $72.06 as of 2026-03-20, trading 106.5% above its 200-week moving average of $34.89. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 87.3% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 73, VIST is in overbought territory.
A big jump in activity this week — 2.3x the usual volume, and the price went up. Significantly more people than usual decided to buy. This kind of surge, especially on a stock already below its 200-week average, can be an early sign that sentiment is shifting.
Over the past 299 weeks of data, VIST has crossed below its 200-week moving average 1 time. On average, these episodes lasted 55 weeks. Historically, investors who bought VIST at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +28.8%.
With a market cap of $7.6 billion, VIST is a mid-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 34.8%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 3.0x book value.
Share count has increased 7.5% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 5.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in VIST would have grown to $2302, compared to $229 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 71.2% vs 15.2% for the index — confirming VIST as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -100% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: VIST vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After VIST Crosses Below the Line?
Across 1 historical episodes, buying VIST when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +29.0% after 12 months (median +29.0%), compared to +41.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +139.0% vs +26.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment VIST crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
VIST has crossed below its 200-week MA 1 time with an average 1-year return of +28.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 2020 | Jul 2021 | 55 | 57.5% | +28.8% | +2202.2% |
| Average | 55 | — | +28.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VIST below its 200-week moving average?
No. Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V. (VIST) is currently 106.5% above its 200-week moving average of $34.89. It would need to fall to $34.89 to cross below the line.
What is VIST's 200-week moving average price?
Vista Energy, S.A.B. de C.V.'s 200-week moving average is $34.89 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when VIST drops below its 200-week moving average?
VIST has crossed below its 200-week moving average 1 time in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +28.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 55 weeks on average.
Is VIST a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about VIST as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 73 (overbought). Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 34.8%. Price-to-book is 3.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does VIST compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 5.8 years, $100 invested in VIST would have grown to $2302, compared to $229 for the S&P 500. That's 71.2% annualized vs 15.2% for the index. VIST has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20