VIRT
Virtu Financial, Inc. Financial Services - Market Making Investor Relations →
Virtu Financial, Inc. (VIRT) closed at $60.86 as of 2026-09-11, trading 100.6% above its 200-week moving average of $30.34. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 113.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 58, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.15 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 547 weeks of data, VIRT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times. On average, these episodes lasted 41 weeks. Historically, investors who bought VIRT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +4.8%.
With a market cap of $5.4 billion, VIRT is a mid-cap stock. Return on equity stands at 53.6%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 2.9x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 13.8% over the past three years.
Over the past 10.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in VIRT would have grown to $424, compared to $439 for the S&P 500. VIRT has returned 14.6% annualized vs 15.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -10.8% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: VIRT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After VIRT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 5 historical episodes, buying VIRT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.0% after 12 months (median -12.0%), compared to +16.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 40% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +54.4% vs +45.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment VIRT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices VIRT would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where VIRT's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-11-04.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $53.43 | Unusually cheap — analysis point |
| Value | +1σ | $59.72 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $67.69 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $78.12 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $92.34 | Unusually expensive — analysis point |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 | $1.78 | $1.82 | +2.2% |
| 2026-04-29 | $1.65 | $2.24 | +36.1% |
| 2026-01-29 | $1.29 | $1.85 | +43.0% |
| 2025-10-29 | $0.93 | $1.05 | +12.8% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
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Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from VIRT's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
VIRT has crossed below its 200-week MA 5 times with an average 1-year return of +4.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2016 | Dec 2017 | 88 | 33.6% | -22.4% | +339.9% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 4 | 7.1% | +32.4% | +341.3% |
| Sep 2019 | Feb 2020 | 23 | 19.2% | +47.3% | +311.7% |
| Jul 2022 | Jul 2022 | 3 | 7.5% | -21.5% | +212.6% |
| Aug 2022 | Apr 2024 | 86 | 25.9% | -12.0% | +210.5% |
| Average | 41 | — | +4.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VIRT below its 200-week moving average?
No. Virtu Financial, Inc. (VIRT) is currently 100.6% above its 200-week moving average of $30.34. It would need to fall to $30.34 to cross below the line.
What is VIRT's 200-week moving average price?
Virtu Financial, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $30.34 as of 2026-09-11. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when VIRT drops below its 200-week moving average?
VIRT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +4.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 41 weeks on average.
Is VIRT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about VIRT as of 2026-09-11: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 58. Return on equity is 53.6%. Price-to-book is 2.9x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does VIRT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 10.6 years, $100 invested in VIRT would have grown to $424, compared to $439 for the S&P 500. That's 14.6% annualized vs 15.0% for the index. VIRT has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does VIRT pay a dividend?
Yes. Virtu Financial, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 158.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-11