VIRT
Virtu Financial, Inc. Financial Services - Market Making Investor Relations →
Virtu Financial, Inc. (VIRT) closed at $58.73 as of 2026-07-31, trading 101.5% above its 200-week moving average of $29.15. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 106.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 61, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.84 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 541 weeks of data, VIRT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times. On average, these episodes lasted 41 weeks. Historically, investors who bought VIRT at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +4.8%.
With a market cap of $12.6 billion, VIRT is a large-cap stock. The stock trades at 3.0x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 13.8% over the past three years.
Over the past 10.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in VIRT would have grown to $408, compared to $429 for the S&P 500. VIRT has returned 14.4% annualized vs 15.0% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -10.8% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: VIRT vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After VIRT Crosses Below the Line?
Across 5 historical episodes, buying VIRT when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.0% after 12 months (median -12.0%), compared to +16.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 40% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +54.4% vs +45.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment VIRT crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices VIRT would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where VIRT's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report (date TBD — last report: 2026-03-31).
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $45.25 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $50.72 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $57.68 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $66.86 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $79.50 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from VIRT's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
VIRT has crossed below its 200-week MA 5 times with an average 1-year return of +4.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2016 | Dec 2017 | 88 | 33.6% | -22.4% | +322.9% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 4 | 7.1% | +32.4% | +324.3% |
| Sep 2019 | Feb 2020 | 23 | 19.2% | +47.3% | +295.8% |
| Jul 2022 | Jul 2022 | 3 | 7.5% | -21.5% | +200.6% |
| Aug 2022 | Apr 2024 | 86 | 25.9% | -12.0% | +198.5% |
| Average | 41 | — | +4.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VIRT below its 200-week moving average?
No. Virtu Financial, Inc. (VIRT) is currently 101.5% above its 200-week moving average of $29.15. It would need to fall to $29.15 to cross below the line.
What is VIRT's 200-week moving average price?
Virtu Financial, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $29.15 as of 2026-07-31. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when VIRT drops below its 200-week moving average?
VIRT has crossed below its 200-week moving average 5 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +4.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 41 weeks on average.
Is VIRT a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about VIRT as of 2026-07-31: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 61. Price-to-book is 3.0x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does VIRT compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 10.4 years, $100 invested in VIRT would have grown to $408, compared to $429 for the S&P 500. That's 14.4% annualized vs 15.0% for the index. VIRT has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does VIRT pay a dividend?
Yes. Virtu Financial, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 162.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-07-31