VFC
VF Corporation Consumer Discretionary - Apparel Investor Relations →
VF Corporation (VFC) closed at $17.33 as of 2026-06-19, trading 4.6% below its 200-week moving average of $18.16. This places VFC in the below line zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -4.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 56, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.18 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2365 weeks of data, VFC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought VFC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.1%.
With a market cap of $6.8 billion, VFC is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 11.5%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 22.1%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 1.8x book value.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in VFC would have grown to $655, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. VFC has returned 5.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: VFC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After VFC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 14 historical episodes, buying VFC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +2.3% after 12 months (median +17.0%), compared to +10.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +5.2% vs +20.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment VFC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices VFC would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where VFC's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-08-04.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $15.29 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $16.30 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $17.47 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $18.81 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $20.37 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from VFC's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
VFC has crossed below its 200-week MA 21 times with an average 1-year return of +14.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1982 | Mar 1982 | 2 | 2.4% | +226.6% | +10932.8% |
| Nov 1987 | Jan 1988 | 5 | 5.1% | +21.3% | +1648.8% |
| Nov 1988 | Dec 1988 | 4 | 0.7% | +17.1% | +1354.1% |
| Jan 1989 | Jan 1989 | 1 | 0.1% | +23.2% | +1317.3% |
| Dec 1989 | Dec 1989 | 1 | 1.1% | -35.1% | +1177.4% |
| Jan 1990 | Mar 1990 | 7 | 3.6% | -32.7% | +1167.1% |
| Mar 1990 | Apr 1991 | 56 | 58.2% | -18.2% | +1161.8% |
| May 1991 | May 1991 | 1 | 0.7% | +70.7% | +1271.8% |
| Aug 1999 | Apr 2001 | 84 | 41.0% | -36.0% | +305.8% |
| Jul 2001 | Jul 2001 | 1 | 3.0% | +11.6% | +310.0% |
| Aug 2001 | Nov 2001 | 12 | 17.3% | +22.0% | +302.6% |
| Sep 2002 | Oct 2002 | 1 | 2.0% | +23.6% | +318.9% |
| Oct 2008 | Apr 2009 | 26 | 35.7% | +24.0% | +90.2% |
| Apr 2009 | Aug 2009 | 14 | 17.8% | +51.5% | +97.9% |
| Sep 2016 | Jul 2017 | 45 | 16.6% | +14.5% | -56.3% |
| Mar 2020 | Aug 2020 | 24 | 27.5% | +36.4% | -64.3% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 1.9% | +11.2% | -69.0% |
| Sep 2021 | Nov 2021 | 9 | 8.2% | -36.8% | -71.2% |
| Nov 2021 | Nov 2021 | 1 | 0.5% | -51.8% | -72.5% |
| Dec 2021 | Apr 2026 | 226 | 72.7% | -61.0% | -71.6% |
| Apr 2026 | Ongoing | 8+ | 11.5% | Ongoing | -8.4% |
| Average | 25 | — | +14.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VFC below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, VF Corporation (VFC) is trading 4.6% below its 200-week moving average of $18.16. The current price is $17.33.
What is VFC's 200-week moving average price?
VF Corporation's 200-week moving average is $18.16 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when VFC drops below its 200-week moving average?
VFC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 21 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +14.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 25 weeks on average.
Is VFC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about VFC as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 56. Free cash flow yield is 11.5%. Return on equity is 22.1%. Price-to-book is 1.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does VFC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in VFC would have grown to $655, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 5.8% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. VFC has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does VFC pay a dividend?
Yes. VF Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 203.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19