VFC
VF Corporation Consumer Discretionary - Apparel Investor Relations →
VF Corporation (VFC) closed at $16.28 as of 2026-03-20, trading 17.6% below its 200-week moving average of $19.76. This places VFC in the extreme value zone. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from -20.1% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 37, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.97 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2352 weeks of data, VFC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times. On average, these episodes lasted 26 weeks. Historically, investors who bought VFC at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +18.1%.
With a market cap of $6.4 billion, VFC is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 11.7%, which is notably high. Return on equity stands at 12.9%. The stock trades at 3.6x book value.
Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in VFC would have grown to $612, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. VFC has returned 5.6% annualized vs 10.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
In the past 12 months, corporate insiders have made 3 open-market purchases totaling $2,198,403. Multiple insiders purchased within a 30-day window — a cluster buy pattern that historically signals management confidence in the company's prospects. Notably, these purchases occurred while VFC is trading below its 200-week moving average — insiders are buying when the market is most pessimistic.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -14.1% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: VFC vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After VFC Crosses Below the Line?
Across 13 historical episodes, buying VFC when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +2.3% after 12 months (median +17.0%), compared to +10.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 67% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +5.2% vs +20.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment VFC crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
VFC has crossed below its 200-week MA 20 times with an average 1-year return of +18.1% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1982 | Mar 1982 | 2 | 2.4% | +226.6% | +10209.5% |
| Nov 1987 | Jan 1988 | 5 | 5.1% | +21.3% | +1534.2% |
| Nov 1988 | Dec 1988 | 4 | 0.7% | +17.1% | +1258.8% |
| Jan 1989 | Jan 1989 | 1 | 0.1% | +23.2% | +1224.4% |
| Dec 1989 | Dec 1989 | 1 | 1.1% | -35.1% | +1093.7% |
| Jan 1990 | Mar 1990 | 7 | 3.6% | -32.7% | +1084.0% |
| Mar 1990 | Apr 1991 | 56 | 58.2% | -18.2% | +1079.1% |
| May 1991 | May 1991 | 1 | 0.7% | +70.7% | +1181.9% |
| Aug 1999 | Apr 2001 | 84 | 41.0% | -36.0% | +279.2% |
| Jul 2001 | Jul 2001 | 1 | 3.0% | +11.6% | +283.1% |
| Aug 2001 | Nov 2001 | 12 | 17.3% | +22.0% | +276.2% |
| Sep 2002 | Oct 2002 | 1 | 2.0% | +23.6% | +291.4% |
| Oct 2008 | Apr 2009 | 26 | 35.7% | +24.0% | +77.7% |
| Apr 2009 | Aug 2009 | 14 | 17.8% | +51.5% | +84.9% |
| Sep 2016 | Jul 2017 | 45 | 16.6% | +14.5% | -59.2% |
| Mar 2020 | Aug 2020 | 24 | 27.5% | +36.4% | -66.6% |
| Oct 2020 | Nov 2020 | 1 | 1.9% | +11.2% | -71.0% |
| Sep 2021 | Nov 2021 | 9 | 8.2% | -36.8% | -73.0% |
| Nov 2021 | Nov 2021 | 1 | 0.5% | -51.8% | -74.3% |
| Dec 2021 | Ongoing | 223+ | 72.7% | Ongoing | -73.4% |
| Average | 26 | — | +18.1% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VFC below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-03-20, VF Corporation (VFC) is trading 17.6% below its 200-week moving average of $19.76. The current price is $16.28.
What is VFC's 200-week moving average price?
VF Corporation's 200-week moving average is $19.76 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when VFC drops below its 200-week moving average?
VFC has crossed below its 200-week moving average 20 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +18.1%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 26 weeks on average.
Is VFC a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about VFC as of 2026-03-20: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 37. Free cash flow yield is 11.7%. Return on equity is 12.9%. Price-to-book is 3.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does VFC compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.2 years, $100 invested in VFC would have grown to $612, compared to $2683 for the S&P 500. That's 5.6% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. VFC has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does VFC pay a dividend?
Yes. VF Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 221.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20