V
Visa Inc. Financial Services - Payments Investor Relations →
Visa Inc. (V) closed at $327.24 as of 2026-06-19, trading 17.5% above its 200-week moving average of $278.54. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 16.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 62, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.4x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.06 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 904 weeks of data, V has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times. On average, these episodes lasted 4 weeks. Historically, investors who bought V at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +37.6%.
With a market cap of $622.3 billion, V is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.4%. Return on equity stands at 60.3%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 17.6x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 7.3% over the past three years.
Over the past 17.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in V would have grown to $2612, compared to $1385 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 20.6% vs 16.3% for the index — confirming V as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 6.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: V vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After V Crosses Below the Line?
Across 6 historical episodes, buying V when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +36.0% after 12 months (median +45.0%), compared to +16.2% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 100% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +78.8% vs +45.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment V crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices V would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where V's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-28.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $252.89 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $271.38 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $292.79 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $317.87 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $347.64 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from V's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
V has crossed below its 200-week MA 6 times with an average 1-year return of +37.6% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2009 | Apr 2009 | 9 | 22.0% | +51.3% | +2511.8% |
| Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | 4 | 5.8% | +26.3% | +2309.6% |
| Sep 2010 | Sep 2010 | 2 | 2.8% | +27.8% | +2055.1% |
| Dec 2010 | Jan 2011 | 3 | 5.1% | +46.8% | +2089.0% |
| Jan 2011 | Jan 2011 | 2 | 1.4% | +44.5% | +1987.6% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 5 | 8.3% | +28.8% | +83.1% |
| Average | 4 | — | +37.6% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is V below its 200-week moving average?
No. Visa Inc. (V) is currently 17.5% above its 200-week moving average of $278.54. It would need to fall to $278.54 to cross below the line.
What is V's 200-week moving average price?
Visa Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $278.54 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when V drops below its 200-week moving average?
V has crossed below its 200-week moving average 6 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +37.6%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 4 weeks on average.
Is V a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about V as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 62. Free cash flow yield is 3.4%. Return on equity is 60.3%. Price-to-book is 17.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does V compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 17.4 years, $100 invested in V would have grown to $2612, compared to $1385 for the S&P 500. That's 20.6% annualized vs 16.3% for the index. V has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does V pay a dividend?
Yes. Visa Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 80.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19