UTL
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Unitil Corporation (UTL) closed at $50.96 as of 2026-06-19, trading 3.9% above its 200-week moving average of $49.05. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 5.8% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 45, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 0.9x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.91 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2106 weeks of data, UTL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 10 weeks. Historically, investors who bought UTL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.3%.
With a market cap of $917 million, UTL is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 9.6%. The stock trades at 1.5x book value.
Share count has increased 11.7% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in UTL would have grown to $1414, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. UTL has returned 8.2% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: UTL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After UTL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying UTL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.4% after 12 months (median +12.0%), compared to +17.3% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 78% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +21.8% vs +29.1% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment UTL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. UTL currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from UTL's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
UTL has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +14.3% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 2 | 1.5% | +19.7% | +538.5% |
| Nov 2001 | Nov 2001 | 1 | 1.4% | +21.5% | +540.5% |
| Dec 2001 | Jan 2002 | 6 | 1.2% | +14.7% | +533.6% |
| Feb 2003 | Feb 2003 | 1 | 1.9% | +17.5% | +490.0% |
| Mar 2003 | Apr 2003 | 4 | 3.4% | +22.6% | +473.6% |
| Jun 2003 | Jun 2003 | 2 | 1.6% | +13.0% | +477.4% |
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2008 | 2 | 6.3% | +7.0% | +355.3% |
| Nov 2008 | Oct 2009 | 47 | 18.6% | -6.1% | +352.3% |
| Oct 2009 | Nov 2009 | 6 | 10.6% | +8.1% | +331.4% |
| Jan 2010 | Mar 2010 | 6 | 4.4% | +7.6% | +330.9% |
| Apr 2010 | Sep 2010 | 21 | 10.8% | +21.6% | +326.5% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 6.8% | +11.1% | +40.1% |
| May 2020 | May 2020 | 2 | 7.3% | +28.6% | +39.4% |
| Jun 2020 | Mar 2021 | 39 | 31.9% | +22.1% | +28.9% |
| Mar 2021 | Apr 2021 | 2 | 3.9% | +11.5% | +32.0% |
| Sep 2021 | Jan 2022 | 20 | 13.1% | +10.7% | +28.3% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 3 | 6.0% | -5.2% | +24.2% |
| Aug 2023 | Oct 2023 | 10 | 9.5% | +31.1% | +18.7% |
| Aug 2025 | Jan 2026 | 24 | 8.4% | N/A | +9.8% |
| Average | 10 | — | +14.3% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UTL below its 200-week moving average?
No. Unitil Corporation (UTL) is currently 3.9% above its 200-week moving average of $49.05. It would need to fall to $49.05 to cross below the line.
What is UTL's 200-week moving average price?
Unitil Corporation's 200-week moving average is $49.05 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when UTL drops below its 200-week moving average?
UTL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +14.3%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 10 weeks on average.
Is UTL a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about UTL as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 45. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 9.6%. Price-to-book is 1.5x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does UTL compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in UTL would have grown to $1414, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 8.2% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. UTL has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does UTL pay a dividend?
Yes. Unitil Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 359.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19