UTL
Unitil Corporation Utilities - Electric & Gas Investor Relations →
Unitil Corporation (UTL) closed at $53.09 as of 2026-09-11, trading 7.8% above its 200-week moving average of $49.23. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 9.2% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 59, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.0x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.27 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2118 weeks of data, UTL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 10 weeks. Historically, investors who bought UTL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.7%.
With a market cap of $968 million, UTL is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at 9.6%. The stock trades at 1.6x book value.
Share count has increased 11.7% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 33.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in UTL would have grown to $1463, compared to $3170 for the S&P 500. UTL has returned 8.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: UTL vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After UTL Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying UTL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +13.1% after 12 months (median +12.0%), compared to +16.6% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 79% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +22.3% vs +29.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment UTL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. UTL currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Recent Earnings
| Date | EPS Est. | EPS Actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | $0.26 | $0.26 | -1.3% |
| 2026-05-04 | $1.86 | $1.85 | -0.5% |
| 2026-02-09 | $0.99 | $1.08 | +9.1% |
| 2025-11-03 | $-0.03 | $0.03 | +200.0% |
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
the write-ups I read Simply Wall St · Visual company reports and write-ups. Free tier covers five reports a month. referral
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are analysis points: prices at which the yield deviation becomes unusual enough to justify the work. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from UTL's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. Each one is an analysis point, a reason to open the filings. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
UTL has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +14.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2001 | Sep 2001 | 2 | 1.6% | +19.7% | +571.0% |
| Nov 2001 | Nov 2001 | 1 | 1.5% | +21.5% | +573.1% |
| Dec 2001 | Jan 2002 | 6 | 1.3% | +14.7% | +565.9% |
| Feb 2003 | Feb 2003 | 1 | 2.0% | +17.5% | +520.1% |
| Mar 2003 | Apr 2003 | 4 | 3.5% | +22.6% | +502.9% |
| Jun 2003 | Jun 2003 | 2 | 1.7% | +13.0% | +506.8% |
| Oct 2008 | Oct 2008 | 2 | 6.4% | +7.0% | +378.5% |
| Nov 2008 | Oct 2009 | 47 | 18.6% | -6.1% | +375.3% |
| Oct 2009 | Dec 2009 | 7 | 10.7% | +8.1% | +353.4% |
| Jan 2010 | Mar 2010 | 6 | 4.5% | +7.6% | +352.8% |
| May 2010 | Jul 2010 | 11 | 10.9% | +21.1% | +361.0% |
| Aug 2010 | Sep 2010 | 7 | 3.8% | +29.2% | +354.1% |
| Mar 2020 | Mar 2020 | 1 | 6.8% | +11.1% | +47.2% |
| May 2020 | Mar 2021 | 43 | 31.9% | +28.5% | +45.3% |
| Mar 2021 | Apr 2021 | 2 | 3.9% | +11.5% | +38.7% |
| Sep 2021 | Jan 2022 | 20 | 13.1% | +10.7% | +34.8% |
| Sep 2022 | Oct 2022 | 3 | 6.1% | -5.2% | +30.5% |
| Aug 2023 | Oct 2023 | 10 | 9.5% | +31.1% | +24.8% |
| Aug 2025 | Jan 2026 | 24 | 8.5% | +16.5% | +14.4% |
| Average | 10 | — | +14.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UTL below its 200-week moving average?
No. Unitil Corporation (UTL) is currently 7.8% above its 200-week moving average of $49.23. It would need to fall to $49.23 to cross below the line.
What is UTL's 200-week moving average price?
Unitil Corporation's 200-week moving average is $49.23 as of 2026-09-11. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when UTL drops below its 200-week moving average?
UTL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +14.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 10 weeks on average.
Is UTL a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about UTL as of 2026-09-11: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 59. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is 9.6%. Price-to-book is 1.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does UTL compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.8 years, $100 invested in UTL would have grown to $1463, compared to $3170 for the S&P 500. That's 8.3% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. UTL has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Does UTL pay a dividend?
Yes. Unitil Corporation currently pays a dividend yield of 358.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-09-11