USFD
US Foods Holding Corp. Consumer Staples - Food Distribution Investor Relations →
US Foods Holding Corp. (USFD) closed at $90.33 as of 2026-02-02, trading 71.6% above its 200-week moving average of $52.63. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 59.7% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 70, USFD is in overbought territory.
Over the past 458 weeks of data, USFD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times. On average, these episodes lasted 11 weeks. Historically, investors who bought USFD at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +15.7%.
With a market cap of $20.3 billion, USFD is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.0%. Return on equity stands at 12.3%. The stock trades at 4.5x book value.
Share count has increased 3.4% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 8.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in USFD would have grown to $297, compared to $329 for the S&P 500. USFD has returned 13.1% annualized vs 14.4% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 79.1% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: USFD vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After USFD Crosses Below the Line?
Across 7 historical episodes, buying USFD when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +32.4% after 12 months (median +15.0%), compared to +8.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 71% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +42.4% vs +22.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment USFD crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
USFD has crossed below its 200-week MA 7 times with an average 1-year return of +15.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 3 | 1.9% | +43.5% | +217.6% |
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2020 | 38 | 59.0% | +21.4% | +188.6% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 1.5% | +11.1% | +191.5% |
| Aug 2021 | Aug 2021 | 1 | 2.0% | -0.2% | +180.4% |
| Sep 2021 | Sep 2021 | 1 | 1.8% | -3.2% | +179.1% |
| Nov 2021 | Dec 2021 | 5 | 6.0% | +2.4% | +172.4% |
| May 2022 | Nov 2022 | 25 | 20.3% | +34.8% | +194.9% |
| Average | 11 | — | +15.7% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02