USFD
US Foods Holding Corp. Consumer Staples - Food Distribution Investor Relations →
US Foods Holding Corp. (USFD) closed at $89.40 as of 2026-03-20, trading 64.3% above its 200-week moving average of $54.40. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 74.9% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 61, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.40 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 464 weeks of data, USFD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times. On average, these episodes lasted 11 weeks. Historically, investors who bought USFD at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +15.7%.
With a market cap of $19.9 billion, USFD is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.1%. Return on equity stands at 15.3%, a solid level. The stock trades at 4.6x book value.
Over the past 8.9 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in USFD would have grown to $294, compared to $310 for the S&P 500. USFD has returned 12.9% annualized vs 13.5% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 24.2% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: USFD vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After USFD Crosses Below the Line?
Across 7 historical episodes, buying USFD when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +32.4% after 12 months (median +15.0%), compared to +8.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 71% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +42.4% vs +22.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment USFD crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
USFD has crossed below its 200-week MA 7 times with an average 1-year return of +15.7% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 3 | 1.9% | +43.5% | +214.3% |
| Mar 2020 | Nov 2020 | 38 | 59.0% | +21.4% | +185.6% |
| Jan 2021 | Feb 2021 | 1 | 1.5% | +11.1% | +188.5% |
| Aug 2021 | Aug 2021 | 1 | 2.0% | -0.2% | +177.6% |
| Sep 2021 | Sep 2021 | 1 | 1.8% | -3.2% | +176.2% |
| Nov 2021 | Dec 2021 | 5 | 6.0% | +2.4% | +169.6% |
| May 2022 | Nov 2022 | 25 | 20.3% | +34.8% | +191.9% |
| Average | 11 | — | +15.7% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is USFD below its 200-week moving average?
No. US Foods Holding Corp. (USFD) is currently 64.3% above its 200-week moving average of $54.40. It would need to fall to $54.40 to cross below the line.
What is USFD's 200-week moving average price?
US Foods Holding Corp.'s 200-week moving average is $54.40 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when USFD drops below its 200-week moving average?
USFD has crossed below its 200-week moving average 7 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +15.7%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 11 weeks on average.
Is USFD a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about USFD as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 61. Free cash flow yield is 4.1%. Return on equity is 15.3%. Price-to-book is 4.6x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does USFD compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 8.9 years, $100 invested in USFD would have grown to $294, compared to $310 for the S&P 500. That's 12.9% annualized vs 13.5% for the index. USFD has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20