URI
United Rentals Inc. Industrials - Equipment Rental Investor Relations →
United Rentals Inc. (URI) closed at $899.55 as of 2026-02-02, trading 56.1% above its 200-week moving average of $576.26. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 36.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 53, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1420 weeks of data, URI has crossed below its 200-week moving average 23 times. On average, these episodes lasted 20 weeks. Historically, investors who bought URI at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +25.2%.
With a market cap of $57.2 billion, URI is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.4%. Return on equity stands at 28.4%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 6.3x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 9.0% over the past three years.
Over the past 27.3 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in URI would have grown to $4049, compared to $957 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.5% vs 8.6% for the index — confirming URI as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been declining at a -3.8% compound annual rate. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Growth of $100: URI vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After URI Crosses Below the Line?
Across 23 historical episodes, buying URI when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +34.2% after 12 months (median +26.0%), compared to +13.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 61% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +83.7% vs +26.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment URI crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
URI has crossed below its 200-week MA 23 times with an average 1-year return of +25.2% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1998 | Dec 1998 | 4 | 22.2% | -40.7% | +3413.2% |
| Mar 1999 | Apr 1999 | 4 | 6.6% | -50.5% | +3247.0% |
| May 1999 | May 1999 | 1 | 0.2% | -51.2% | +3151.8% |
| May 1999 | Jun 1999 | 4 | 9.8% | -42.6% | +3217.2% |
| Aug 1999 | Jun 2001 | 96 | 48.1% | -11.1% | +3730.1% |
| Aug 2001 | Feb 2002 | 26 | 25.2% | -33.5% | +3894.9% |
| Jun 2002 | Sep 2003 | 63 | 70.4% | -36.6% | +4160.6% |
| Sep 2003 | Oct 2003 | 5 | 7.4% | -0.1% | +5661.8% |
| Feb 2004 | Jul 2004 | 19 | 10.3% | +8.3% | +5195.3% |
| Aug 2004 | Nov 2004 | 12 | 14.1% | +28.7% | +6079.7% |
| Jan 2005 | Jan 2005 | 3 | 5.5% | +44.6% | +5268.8% |
| Nov 2007 | Oct 2010 | 153 | 86.2% | -73.2% | +3874.3% |
| Aug 2011 | Aug 2011 | 1 | 13.6% | +168.1% | +6984.7% |
| Jul 2015 | Oct 2015 | 13 | 12.8% | +20.9% | +1335.1% |
| Dec 2015 | Dec 2015 | 2 | 4.8% | +59.9% | +1274.8% |
| Jan 2016 | Jul 2016 | 28 | 36.1% | +77.0% | +1402.7% |
| Sep 2016 | Sep 2016 | 1 | 1.0% | +75.1% | +1129.4% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 4 | 6.6% | +91.6% | +1134.0% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 4 | 8.8% | +51.3% | +793.6% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 2.6% | +26.1% | +743.6% |
| Aug 2019 | Sep 2019 | 4 | 9.9% | +50.2% | +703.7% |
| Sep 2019 | Oct 2019 | 1 | 0.5% | +57.9% | +692.4% |
| Mar 2020 | May 2020 | 11 | 45.1% | +160.2% | +703.0% |
| Average | 20 | — | +25.2% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02