URG
Ur-Energy Inc. Energy - Uranium Mining Investor Relations →
Ur-Energy Inc. (URG) closed at $1.50 as of 2026-06-19, trading 14.5% above its 200-week moving average of $1.31. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 20.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 45, indicating neutral momentum.
A big spike in selling this week — 2.8x the usual volume, and the price dropped. Sometimes this kind of heavy selling marks the end of a decline. The idea is that the last reluctant holders have finally sold, leaving fewer sellers left to push the price lower.
Over the past 886 weeks of data, URG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times. On average, these episodes lasted 25 weeks. Historically, investors who bought URG at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +34.4%.
With a market cap of $596 million, URG is a small-cap stock. Free cash flow yield is currently negative, meaning the company is burning cash. Return on equity stands at -90.1%. The stock trades at 7.2x book value.
Share count has increased 68.3% over three years, indicating dilution.
Over the past 17.1 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in URG would have grown to $183, compared to $1106 for the S&P 500. URG has returned 3.6% annualized vs 15.1% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been declining. A deteriorating cash flow trend warrants extra scrutiny — the stock may be cheap for a reason.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: URG vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After URG Crosses Below the Line?
Across 19 historical episodes, buying URG when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +36.3% after 12 months (median +4.0%), compared to +18.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 53% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was -1.2% vs +34.4% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment URG crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. URG currently has negative free cash flow, so price-based dislocation levels are not available. The score still tracks yield deviation from baseline.
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from URG's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
URG has crossed below its 200-week MA 19 times with an average 1-year return of +34.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2009 | Jan 2010 | 7 | 7.0% | +127.6% | +97.4% |
| Jan 2010 | Mar 2010 | 6 | 6.0% | +281.2% | +87.5% |
| Jun 2010 | Jul 2010 | 4 | 9.7% | +113.0% | +94.8% |
| Sep 2011 | Oct 2011 | 6 | 25.5% | -10.0% | +36.4% |
| Nov 2011 | Jan 2012 | 11 | 25.1% | -21.8% | +36.4% |
| Apr 2012 | Jun 2013 | 63 | 38.4% | -16.4% | +36.4% |
| Jul 2013 | Jul 2013 | 1 | 0.3% | -2.6% | +29.3% |
| Aug 2013 | Dec 2013 | 19 | 13.2% | +5.6% | +38.9% |
| Apr 2014 | Jan 2018 | 192 | 52.2% | -17.5% | +31.6% |
| Jan 2018 | Apr 2018 | 11 | 14.7% | -1.4% | +111.3% |
| Jun 2018 | Jul 2018 | 1 | 0.3% | +40.3% | +123.9% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 1 | 4.1% | -3.2% | +138.1% |
| Dec 2018 | Dec 2018 | 2 | 9.2% | -8.1% | +141.9% |
| Jul 2019 | Dec 2020 | 74 | 55.3% | -19.4% | +141.9% |
| Mar 2023 | May 2023 | 11 | 13.4% | +56.4% | +59.6% |
| Jul 2023 | Jul 2023 | 4 | 6.3% | +43.2% | +57.9% |
| Jul 2024 | Jul 2025 | 51 | 54.4% | +18.6% | +27.1% |
| Jul 2025 | Aug 2025 | 3 | 9.1% | N/A | +29.3% |
| Nov 2025 | Nov 2025 | 3 | 8.0% | N/A | +21.0% |
| Average | 25 | — | +34.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is URG below its 200-week moving average?
No. Ur-Energy Inc. (URG) is currently 14.5% above its 200-week moving average of $1.31. It would need to fall to $1.31 to cross below the line.
What is URG's 200-week moving average price?
Ur-Energy Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $1.31 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when URG drops below its 200-week moving average?
URG has crossed below its 200-week moving average 19 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +34.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 25 weeks on average.
Is URG a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about URG as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 45. Free cash flow is currently negative. Return on equity is -90.1%. Price-to-book is 7.2x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does URG compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 17.1 years, $100 invested in URG would have grown to $183, compared to $1106 for the S&P 500. That's 3.6% annualized vs 15.1% for the index. URG has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19