URBN
Urban Outfitters Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Apparel Retail Investor Relations →
Urban Outfitters Inc. (URBN) closed at $72.47 as of 2026-02-02, trading 71.6% above its 200-week moving average of $42.24. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 68.7% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 57, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 1634 weeks of data, URBN has crossed below its 200-week moving average 34 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought URBN at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +24.8%.
With a market cap of $6.5 billion, URBN is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.6%. Return on equity stands at 19.3%, a solid level. The stock trades at 2.4x book value.
Management has been repurchasing shares, with a 4.3% reduction over three years. URBN passes our Buffett quality screen: high return on equity, low debt, and positive free cash flow.
Over the past 31.4 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in URBN would have grown to $3865, compared to $2525 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 12.3% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming URBN as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 49% compound annual rate, with 2 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Growth of $100: URBN vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After URBN Crosses Below the Line?
Across 34 historical episodes, buying URBN when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +27.6% after 12 months (median +3.0%), compared to +12.1% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 56% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +62.1% vs +25.6% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment URBN crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
URBN has crossed below its 200-week MA 34 times with an average 1-year return of +24.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1995 | Sep 1995 | 31 | 26.7% | -4.0% | +4492.2% |
| Oct 1995 | Jan 1996 | 12 | 13.3% | +43.2% | +5170.5% |
| Dec 1996 | May 1997 | 22 | 22.5% | +15.1% | +4275.5% |
| May 1997 | May 1997 | 1 | 3.8% | +32.4% | +4317.2% |
| Aug 1998 | Nov 1998 | 15 | 23.4% | +90.0% | +3765.1% |
| Feb 1999 | Apr 1999 | 8 | 19.8% | +0.9% | +4078.5% |
| Oct 1999 | Oct 1999 | 1 | 3.9% | -51.5% | +3413.7% |
| Jan 2000 | May 2001 | 72 | 55.8% | -36.7% | +4317.2% |
| Jun 2001 | Aug 2001 | 12 | 30.8% | +147.4% | +4461.4% |
| Sep 2001 | Nov 2001 | 7 | 30.9% | +136.7% | +5395.4% |
| Feb 2003 | Feb 2003 | 1 | 2.9% | +372.4% | +3168.1% |
| Jul 2006 | Sep 2006 | 9 | 8.8% | +41.7% | +373.7% |
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 2 | 5.5% | +58.2% | +273.4% |
| Oct 2008 | Jul 2009 | 42 | 43.2% | +32.3% | +207.6% |
| Jun 2011 | Jul 2011 | 3 | 1.7% | -4.5% | +151.5% |
| Aug 2011 | Mar 2012 | 31 | 23.6% | +21.1% | +179.3% |
| Apr 2012 | Apr 2012 | 1 | 0.6% | +44.3% | +152.8% |
| Apr 2012 | Jul 2012 | 10 | 10.9% | +46.7% | +156.0% |
| May 2014 | Jul 2014 | 9 | 4.7% | +7.1% | +122.7% |
| Oct 2014 | Dec 2014 | 10 | 13.9% | -1.0% | +144.7% |
| Jan 2015 | Jan 2015 | 1 | 2.6% | -36.5% | +117.5% |
| May 2015 | Jun 2015 | 2 | 2.0% | -18.3% | +108.0% |
| Jun 2015 | Jun 2015 | 1 | 0.3% | -25.9% | +106.6% |
| Jul 2015 | Aug 2016 | 57 | 40.4% | -17.1% | +106.0% |
| Sep 2016 | Oct 2016 | 1 | 1.7% | -30.8% | +109.9% |
| Oct 2016 | Nov 2016 | 3 | 8.1% | -26.7% | +115.8% |
| Nov 2016 | Nov 2017 | 53 | 45.9% | -10.1% | +115.9% |
| Jan 2019 | Apr 2019 | 9 | 10.1% | -18.1% | +131.8% |
| Apr 2019 | Nov 2020 | 83 | 57.5% | -39.7% | +134.3% |
| Dec 2020 | Feb 2021 | 8 | 8.8% | +14.6% | +172.0% |
| Sep 2021 | Oct 2021 | 3 | 3.2% | -35.4% | +138.1% |
| Dec 2021 | Nov 2022 | 50 | 32.3% | -10.4% | +137.3% |
| Dec 2022 | Jan 2023 | 4 | 10.0% | +38.5% | +175.9% |
| Mar 2023 | Mar 2023 | 1 | 1.8% | +65.9% | +180.0% |
| Average | 17 | — | +24.8% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02