UHS
Universal Health Services, Inc. Healthcare - Medical Care Facilities Investor Relations →
Universal Health Services, Inc. (UHS) closed at $141.17 as of 2026-06-19, trading 15.7% below its 200-week moving average of $167.37. This places UHS in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -12.6% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 14, UHS is in oversold territory.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.80 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2297 weeks of data, UHS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 39 times. On average, these episodes lasted 14 weeks. Historically, investors who bought UHS at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +28.4%.
With a market cap of $8.5 billion, UHS is a mid-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.6%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 21.4%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 1.1x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 13.5% over the past three years.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in UHS would have grown to $8387, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.1% vs 10.8% for the index — confirming UHS as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 46.5% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: UHS vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After UHS Crosses Below the Line?
Across 27 historical episodes, buying UHS when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +23.4% after 12 months (median +15.0%), compared to +8.9% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 85% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +32.5% vs +21.0% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment UHS crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices UHS would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where UHS's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-27.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $144.86 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $154.32 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $165.09 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $177.49 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $191.89 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from UHS's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
UHS has crossed below its 200-week MA 39 times with an average 1-year return of +28.4% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1982 | Aug 1982 | 9 | 9.5% | +210.7% | +13678.6% |
| Oct 1983 | Jul 1984 | 43 | 34.6% | -10.9% | +9294.5% |
| Sep 1984 | Jan 1985 | 19 | 27.5% | +18.6% | +10031.3% |
| Sep 1985 | Jun 1986 | 38 | 16.3% | +13.8% | +8808.6% |
| Jul 1986 | Aug 1986 | 2 | 1.2% | -41.8% | +8370.4% |
| Oct 1986 | Jun 1989 | 139 | 72.5% | -57.0% | +11916.2% |
| Oct 1989 | Nov 1989 | 5 | 15.6% | -18.8% | +14607.5% |
| Dec 1989 | Dec 1989 | 2 | 1.6% | +4.3% | +14397.4% |
| Apr 1990 | May 1990 | 6 | 8.1% | +70.1% | +15046.5% |
| Aug 1990 | Aug 1990 | 1 | 6.5% | +110.3% | +17396.8% |
| Sep 1990 | Dec 1990 | 11 | 17.0% | +120.3% | +17100.2% |
| Aug 1999 | Jan 2000 | 21 | 39.7% | +84.4% | +1625.9% |
| Feb 2000 | Mar 2000 | 3 | 2.9% | +107.3% | +1505.7% |
| Feb 2003 | Feb 2003 | 1 | 5.4% | +60.7% | +806.3% |
| Mar 2003 | Mar 2003 | 1 | 0.0% | +21.8% | +751.8% |
| Apr 2004 | Nov 2004 | 30 | 8.6% | +22.6% | +622.0% |
| Dec 2004 | Feb 2005 | 8 | 6.0% | +5.7% | +606.7% |
| Oct 2005 | Oct 2005 | 1 | 0.8% | +27.6% | +577.8% |
| Oct 2005 | Nov 2005 | 2 | 1.5% | +19.0% | +581.2% |
| Dec 2005 | Jan 2006 | 4 | 2.1% | +19.3% | +568.6% |
| Jul 2007 | Aug 2007 | 2 | 3.4% | +25.5% | +531.4% |
| Oct 2007 | Nov 2007 | 7 | 4.7% | -17.5% | +517.7% |
| Dec 2007 | Feb 2008 | 8 | 7.8% | -23.2% | +518.0% |
| Sep 2008 | May 2009 | 33 | 39.0% | +18.0% | +497.4% |
| Jun 2009 | Jul 2009 | 4 | 5.5% | +66.2% | +511.8% |
| Jul 2017 | Jan 2018 | 24 | 14.6% | +12.5% | +31.7% |
| Feb 2018 | Feb 2018 | 1 | 0.5% | +14.4% | +27.2% |
| Apr 2018 | Apr 2018 | 1 | 2.7% | +13.4% | +28.1% |
| May 2018 | Jul 2018 | 10 | 5.6% | +3.7% | +24.3% |
| Oct 2018 | Oct 2018 | 1 | 3.2% | +19.7% | +26.5% |
| Dec 2018 | Jan 2019 | 3 | 4.8% | +26.6% | +27.6% |
| May 2019 | Jun 2019 | 1 | 0.9% | -11.3% | +22.2% |
| Feb 2020 | Nov 2020 | 37 | 38.9% | +1.4% | +17.6% |
| Oct 2021 | Nov 2021 | 1 | 2.6% | -5.1% | +16.6% |
| Nov 2021 | Dec 2021 | 3 | 4.8% | +4.5% | +16.7% |
| Apr 2022 | Nov 2022 | 29 | 30.8% | +23.5% | +17.7% |
| Feb 2023 | Apr 2023 | 5 | 7.7% | +35.4% | +12.9% |
| Sep 2023 | Oct 2023 | 7 | 2.7% | +85.2% | +13.3% |
| May 2026 | Ongoing | 5+ | 15.7% | Ongoing | -10.4% |
| Average | 14 | — | +28.4% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UHS below its 200-week moving average?
Yes. As of 2026-06-19, Universal Health Services, Inc. (UHS) is trading 15.7% below its 200-week moving average of $167.37. The current price is $141.17.
What is UHS's 200-week moving average price?
Universal Health Services, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $167.37 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when UHS drops below its 200-week moving average?
UHS has crossed below its 200-week moving average 39 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +28.4%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 14 weeks on average.
Is UHS a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about UHS as of 2026-06-19: The stock is below its 200-week moving average, which is the starting point for our analysis. The 14-week RSI is 14 (oversold). Free cash flow yield is 7.6%. Return on equity is 21.4%. Price-to-book is 1.1x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does UHS compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in UHS would have grown to $8387, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 14.1% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. UHS has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does UHS pay a dividend?
Yes. Universal Health Services, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 54.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19