UDR
UDR, Inc. Real Estate - REIT - Residential Investor Relations →
UDR, Inc. (UDR) closed at $37.56 as of 2026-06-19, trading 3.0% above its 200-week moving average of $36.48. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 8.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 61, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.2x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (0.84 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 2365 weeks of data, UDR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times. On average, these episodes lasted 14 weeks. Historically, investors who bought UDR at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +14.8%.
With a market cap of $13.9 billion, UDR is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 7.2%, which is healthy. Return on equity stands at 12.4%. The stock trades at 3.8x book value.
Over the past 33.5 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in UDR would have grown to $1748, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. UDR has returned 8.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index, underperforming the broader market over this period.
Free cash flow has been growing at a 1.7% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: UDR vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After UDR Crosses Below the Line?
Across 25 historical episodes, buying UDR when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +11.2% after 12 months (median +4.0%), compared to +13.7% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 52% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +33.1% vs +14.9% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment UDR crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Bean Score Experimental
The Bean Score measures how far a stock's free cash flow yield has deviated from its own quarterly baseline, normalized by the stock's historical behavior. Between earnings dates, FCF is constant — so the score is purely a function of stock price. The levels below show at what prices UDR would reach each dislocation threshold.
Dislocation Price Levels
Prices where UDR's Bean Score would hit each σ threshold. Valid until next earnings report: 2026-07-29.
| Level | σ | Price | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deep Value | +2σ | $32.00 | Unusually cheap — potential buy zone |
| Value | +1σ | $33.51 | Cheap vs. own history |
| Fair Value | +0σ | $35.17 | Historical mean behavior |
| Expensive | -1σ | $37.00 | Expensive vs. own history |
| Deep Expensive | -2σ | $39.03 | Unusually expensive — potential trim zone |
Quarterly FCF & Yield Trailing twelve-month free cash flow and yield at each quarter end
Signal Accuracy Collecting Data
The Bean Score system is accumulating weekly data to validate signal accuracy. After 13+ weeks of history, this section will display win rates and average returns for each σ threshold crossing — answering the question: "When this score says cheap or expensive, does the price subsequently move in the expected direction?"
Theoretical framework — not backtested or forward-tested. The Bean Score uses trailing twelve-month free cash flow yield as a dislocation identifier. It measures whether the market has pushed a stock's yield unusually far from its own baseline behavior. These levels are reference points for identifying potential swing trade opportunities, not buy/sell signals. FCF values update quarterly with earnings; between reports, all movement is price-driven.
Dislocation Scores Experimental
Each score measures deviation from UDR's own historical baseline — the same idea as the Bean Score, applied to different fundamentals. Positive means cheaper or more dislocated than this stock's norm. Scores marked σ are normalized by the stock's own variability; pp values are simple deltas from its recent baseline.
Theoretical framework — not backtested. These scores describe how unusual today's readings are for this specific company. They are starting points for research, not buy or sell signals. Annual-statement scores (buyback, accruals, FCF vs history) rest on only ~4 yearly data points and are deltas, not sigmas.
Historical Touches
UDR has crossed below its 200-week MA 28 times with an average 1-year return of +14.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1990 | May 1990 | 2 | 3.4% | +28.7% | +3459.5% |
| Jul 1990 | Jan 1991 | 28 | 14.8% | +21.8% | +3316.0% |
| Feb 1991 | Feb 1991 | 1 | 0.6% | +59.1% | +3304.9% |
| Aug 1998 | Jun 1999 | 47 | 20.3% | +1.5% | +1267.9% |
| Jul 1999 | Aug 1999 | 4 | 3.3% | +12.9% | +1210.4% |
| Aug 1999 | May 2000 | 35 | 15.6% | +6.8% | +1217.7% |
| May 2000 | May 2000 | 1 | 1.6% | +43.1% | +1232.3% |
| Oct 2000 | Oct 2000 | 2 | 2.0% | +50.9% | +1209.5% |
| Oct 2000 | Dec 2000 | 5 | 4.7% | +60.2% | +1258.3% |
| Oct 2007 | Mar 2008 | 21 | 15.9% | -17.2% | +275.7% |
| Jun 2008 | Jul 2008 | 3 | 3.9% | -46.6% | +268.7% |
| Sep 2008 | Mar 2010 | 76 | 65.3% | -26.4% | +247.0% |
| Mar 2020 | Apr 2020 | 3 | 16.7% | +40.8% | +49.8% |
| Apr 2020 | Jun 2020 | 6 | 7.9% | +33.9% | +30.9% |
| Jun 2020 | Nov 2020 | 21 | 16.8% | +32.7% | +25.8% |
| Dec 2020 | Jan 2021 | 4 | 2.1% | +61.6% | +25.8% |
| Sep 2022 | Jan 2023 | 19 | 12.5% | -11.0% | +4.2% |
| Mar 2023 | Jun 2023 | 13 | 9.7% | -0.4% | +8.5% |
| Jun 2023 | Jun 2023 | 1 | 5.2% | +5.8% | +6.5% |
| Jul 2023 | Jun 2024 | 47 | 23.5% | +7.2% | +5.4% |
| Jul 2024 | Jul 2024 | 1 | 1.2% | +4.3% | +1.6% |
| Jan 2025 | Jan 2025 | 3 | 3.2% | -4.1% | +0.2% |
| Mar 2025 | Apr 2025 | 2 | 4.1% | -10.4% | -1.6% |
| May 2025 | May 2025 | 1 | 2.8% | +0.9% | -0.3% |
| Jul 2025 | Jul 2025 | 1 | 0.0% | N/A | -2.6% |
| Jul 2025 | Feb 2026 | 27 | 13.0% | N/A | +0.7% |
| Feb 2026 | Feb 2026 | 1 | 0.3% | N/A | +2.3% |
| Mar 2026 | May 2026 | 8 | 9.5% | N/A | +7.4% |
| Average | 14 | — | +14.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is UDR below its 200-week moving average?
No. UDR, Inc. (UDR) is currently 3.0% above its 200-week moving average of $36.48. It would need to fall to $36.48 to cross below the line.
What is UDR's 200-week moving average price?
UDR, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $36.48 as of 2026-06-19. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when UDR drops below its 200-week moving average?
UDR has crossed below its 200-week moving average 28 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +14.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 14 weeks on average.
Is UDR a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about UDR as of 2026-06-19: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 61. Free cash flow yield is 7.2%. Return on equity is 12.4%. Price-to-book is 3.8x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does UDR compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 33.5 years, $100 invested in UDR would have grown to $1748, compared to $3097 for the S&P 500. That's 8.9% annualized vs 10.8% for the index. UDR has underperformed the broader market over this period.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-06-19