TYL

Tyler Technologies, Inc. Technology - Software - Application Investor Relations โ†’

YES
23.2% BELOW
โ†“ Approaching Was -18.7% last week
-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%+
Buy Threshold $453.90
14-Week RSI 15 ๐Ÿ“‰

Tyler Technologies, Inc. (TYL) closed at $348.35 as of 2026-02-02, trading 23.2% below its 200-week moving average of $453.90. This places TYL in the extreme value zone. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from -18.7% last week. With a 14-week RSI of 15, TYL is in oversold territory.

Over the past 2346 weeks of data, TYL has crossed below its 200-week moving average 27 times. On average, these episodes lasted 17 weeks. Historically, investors who bought TYL at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +42.5%.

With a market cap of $15.1 billion, TYL is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 3.1%. Return on equity stands at 9.2%. The stock trades at 4.2x book value.

Share count has increased 4.0% over three years, indicating dilution.

Over the past 33.2 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TYL would have grown to $7146, compared to $2849 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 13.7% vs 10.6% for the index โ€” confirming TYL as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.

Free cash flow has been growing at a 22% compound annual rate, with 4 consecutive years of positive cash generation. A business generating more cash every year while trading below its 200-week moving average is exactly the kind of disconnect value investors look for.

Growth of $100: TYL vs S&P 500

Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.

What Happens After TYL Crosses Below the Line?

Across 19 historical episodes, buying TYL when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +35.9% after 12 months (median +40.0%), compared to +16.8% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 72% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +40.8% vs +29.2% for the index.

Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TYL crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.

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Historical Touches

TYL has crossed below its 200-week MA 27 times with an average 1-year return of +42.5% after recovery.

Crossed BelowRecoveredWeeksMax Depth1-Year ReturnReturn Since Touch
Mar 1982Oct 19823234.5%+24.0%+28099.3%
Dec 1982Dec 198232.8%+63.2%+29274.3%
Jul 1986Feb 19873015.8%+8.1%+19126.8%
Feb 1987Jul 19872012.7%-6.9%+19329.3%
Oct 1987Mar 19882430.8%+18.7%+18865.5%
Apr 1988May 198834.7%+70.3%+19558.1%
Aug 1988Aug 1988144.8%+72.8%+33717.2%
Aug 1989Dec 19891517.2%+68.5%+19469.8%
Oct 1994Sep 199715264.1%-12.5%+8608.8%
Apr 1999Apr 199913.5%+93.9%+8344.8%
Sep 1999Dec 19991322.6%-55.6%+7641.1%
Jan 2000Feb 2000519.3%-61.3%+7331.5%
May 2000Mar 20029675.5%-60.4%+7641.1%
Aug 2002Sep 2002324.8%+59.3%+9740.4%
Nov 2002Nov 200210.1%+104.3%+8741.4%
Jan 2003Jan 200310.4%+153.9%+8878.1%
Feb 2003Apr 200386.9%+146.3%+9115.6%
Apr 2005May 200535.6%+90.8%+5926.8%
Oct 2008Oct 200811.0%+59.3%+2903.0%
Dec 2008Jan 200935.1%+75.9%+2969.2%
May 2022May 202210.2%+15.3%+1.9%
Jun 2022Jul 202269.8%+15.2%+3.2%
Sep 2022Apr 20233119.9%+13.9%+2.1%
Jul 2023Aug 202343.7%+50.8%-8.8%
Sep 2023Oct 202377.1%+55.0%-7.2%
Apr 2024Apr 202410.1%+41.4%-13.6%
Dec 2025Ongoing6+23.3%Ongoing-20.1%
Average17โ€”+42.5%โ€”

Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02