TXRH
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. Consumer Discretionary - Restaurants Investor Relations →
Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH) closed at $170.89 as of 2026-03-20, trading 24.5% above its 200-week moving average of $137.24. The stock moved further from the line this week, up from 24.0% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 52, indicating neutral momentum.
Trading volume is running at 1.5x of its 14-week average, which is in the normal range. The balance between buying and selling volume (1.07 ratio) is neutral — neither side is clearly dominating.
Over the past 1071 weeks of data, TXRH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times. On average, these episodes lasted 28 weeks. Historically, investors who bought TXRH at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +13.8%.
With a market cap of $11.3 billion, TXRH is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 1.7%. Return on equity stands at 29.0%, indicating strong profitability. The stock trades at 7.7x book value.
Over the past 20.6 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TXRH would have grown to $1506, compared to $773 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 14.1% vs 10.4% for the index — confirming TXRH as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Business Health
Annual financials — how the underlying business has performed over the past several years.
Cash Flow Free cash flow & net income ($M)
Revenue Annual revenue ($M) — business growth proxy
Total Debt Balance sheet debt ($M)
ROIC Return on invested capital (%)
FCF Yield Free cash flow / market cap (%) — Yartseva signal
Gross Margin Pricing power & competitive moat (%)
Shares Outstanding Buybacks vs dilution (millions)
Growth of $100: TXRH vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After TXRH Crosses Below the Line?
Across 8 historical episodes, buying TXRH when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +20.1% after 12 months (median +2.0%), compared to +15.4% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 50% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +26.5% vs +20.2% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TXRH crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
TXRH has crossed below its 200-week MA 8 times with an average 1-year return of +13.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2005 | Oct 2005 | 4 | 6.0% | -6.7% | +1502.0% |
| Jan 2006 | Feb 2006 | 5 | 5.4% | -12.5% | +1437.7% |
| Apr 2006 | Feb 2007 | 43 | 29.3% | -0.7% | +1385.8% |
| Mar 2007 | Apr 2007 | 6 | 2.4% | -33.4% | +1463.4% |
| May 2007 | Jan 2010 | 140 | 65.8% | -19.2% | +1493.4% |
| Aug 2019 | Aug 2019 | 1 | 2.7% | +28.1% | +289.1% |
| Sep 2019 | Oct 2019 | 4 | 4.2% | +31.8% | +283.8% |
| Mar 2020 | Jul 2020 | 19 | 32.4% | +122.9% | +326.3% |
| Average | 28 | — | +13.8% | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TXRH below its 200-week moving average?
No. Texas Roadhouse, Inc. (TXRH) is currently 24.5% above its 200-week moving average of $137.24. It would need to fall to $137.24 to cross below the line.
What is TXRH's 200-week moving average price?
Texas Roadhouse, Inc.'s 200-week moving average is $137.24 as of 2026-03-20. This is the average weekly closing price over roughly the last 4 years, and it acts as a long-term trend line. When a stock drops below this level, it can signal that the price has fallen far enough from the long-term trend to attract value-oriented investors.
What happens when TXRH drops below its 200-week moving average?
TXRH has crossed below its 200-week moving average 8 times in our data. On average, buying at that moment produced a one-year return of +13.8%. These dips have historically been decent entry points. These episodes lasted 28 weeks on average.
Is TXRH a good value right now?
Here's what our data says about TXRH as of 2026-03-20: The stock is above its 200-week moving average, so it doesn't currently meet our primary signal. The 14-week RSI is 52. Free cash flow yield is 1.7%. Return on equity is 29.0%. Price-to-book is 7.7x. This is not a buy or sell recommendation — always do your own research.
How does TXRH compare to the S&P 500?
Over the past 20.6 years, $100 invested in TXRH would have grown to $1506, compared to $773 for the S&P 500. That's 14.1% annualized vs 10.4% for the index. TXRH has outperformed the broader market over this period.
Does TXRH pay a dividend?
Yes. Texas Roadhouse, Inc. currently pays a dividend yield of 176.00%.
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of week of 2026-03-20