TWLO
Twilio Inc. Technology - Communications Platform Investor Relations →
Twilio Inc. (TWLO) closed at $115.02 as of 2026-02-02, trading 39.1% above its 200-week moving average of $82.66. The stock is currently moving closer to the line, down from 45.4% last week. The 14-week RSI sits at 38, indicating neutral momentum.
Over the past 454 weeks of data, TWLO has crossed below its 200-week moving average 3 times. On average, these episodes lasted 69 weeks. Historically, investors who bought TWLO at the start of these episodes saw an average one-year return of +29.8%.
With a market cap of $17.6 billion, TWLO is a large-cap stock. The company generates a free cash flow yield of 4.4%. Return on equity stands at 0.8%. The stock trades at 2.2x book value.
The company has been aggressively buying back shares, reducing its share count by 15.4% over the past three years.
Over the past 8.8 years, a hypothetical investment of $100 in TWLO would have grown to $463, compared to $329 for the S&P 500. That represents an annualized return of 18.9% vs 14.4% for the index — confirming TWLO as a market-beating investment and the kind of quality company where buying during 200-week moving average touches has historically been rewarded.
Free cash flow has been volatile over the past several years, making the quality of earnings harder to assess.
Growth of $100: TWLO vs S&P 500
Monthly data normalized to $100 at start. Vertical dashed lines mark 200-week MA touches.
What Happens After TWLO Crosses Below the Line?
Across 3 historical episodes, buying TWLO when it crossed below its 200-week moving average produced an average return of +20.0% after 12 months (median -4.0%), compared to +8.0% for the S&P 500 over the same periods. 33% of those episodes were profitable after one year. After 24 months, the average return was +184.0% vs +14.5% for the index.
Each line shows $100 invested at the moment TWLO crossed below its 200-week MA. Bold blue = stock average. Gray dashed = S&P 500 average over same periods.
Historical Touches
TWLO has crossed below its 200-week MA 3 times with an average 1-year return of +29.8% after recovery.
| Crossed Below | Recovered | Weeks | Max Depth | 1-Year Return | Return Since Touch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2017 | Feb 2018 | 37 | 32.2% | +131.3% | +362.9% |
| Jan 2022 | Jan 2025 | 157 | 78.8% | -71.7% | -40.1% |
| Feb 2025 | May 2025 | 13 | 30.0% | N/A | -8.1% |
| Average | 69 | — | +29.8% | — |
Not financial advice. This is an educational tool. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Do your own research before making investment decisions.
Data as of Friday close, 2026-02-02